{ From user Administrator, Model Retrofit at Wed, Jun 07, 2000 11:32 PM~~ } Softwareversion 1.2.1 { System Variables with non-default values: } Usetable := 0 Typechecking := 0 Checking := 0 Showundef := 0 Showhier := 1 Saveoptions := 2 Savevalues := 0 Webhelper := -1 Oleautorecompute := 0 { Non-default Time SysVar value: } Time := [0,1,2] Title Time: Time Attribute Reference Attribute Date_bough Askattribute Value,Variable,Yes Model Retrofit Title: Transmission Line Retrofit Model (115kV) Author: Thomas Eppel Date: Sun, Mar 22, 1998 10:10 PM Saveauthor: Administrator Savedate: Wed, Jun 07, 2000 11:32 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Diagstate: 1,1,4,448,245,17 Fontstyle: Arial, 13 Fileinfo: 0,Model Retrofit,1,2,0,C:\Tom\CDHS\Revisions-2000\TN115-C\T~~ n-115-c.ana Formnode Relative_exposure_r1 Title: Relative Exposure Reduction Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 200,168 Nodesize: 192,8 Original: Exp_relreduction Formnode Average_exposure_inc Title: Average Exposure Increase Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 200,144 Nodesize: 192,8 Original: Exp_average Text Te8 Description: This computer tool analyzes the performance of various o~~ ptions to mitigate the impact of electromagnetic fields (EMFs) using ~~ a set of evaluation criteria. A summary of the results (either using~~ "equivalent costs" or exposure data) can be obtained by clicking on ~~ one of the three results buttons. More detailed results can be obtai~~ ned by double-clicking on the "Detailed Results" button. Various def~~ ault settings can be changed by double-clicking on the "Settings" but~~ ton. The actual model can be accessed by double-clicking on the "Mod~~ el" button. Nodelocation: 272,321 Nodesize: 256,61 Nodeinfo: 1,0,0,1,0,0,0,,0, Windstate: 1,0,-23 Nodefont: Arial Black, 13 Formnode Equivalent_costs__m1 Title: Equivalent Costs:~ Major Criteria Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 200,120 Nodesize: 192,8 Original: Ec_major Module Overview_settings Title: Settings Description: In the "Settings" menu, the user can make many changes t~~ o the key model parameters related to assumptions about the EMF hazar~~ d, outages, costs, and impacts on property values. These changes are~~ usually made in edit tables or by choosing from a low, medium, and h~~ igh scenario. An important choice is whether to use cost estimates p~~ rovided by Enertech Consultants (1998 a and b) or user specified cost~~ estimates.~ ~ Enertech Consultants. Electric and Magnetic Field Exposure Assessmen~~ t of Powerline and Non-Powerline Sources for Public School Environmen~~ ts. DRAFT, October 1998a.~ ~ Enertech Consultants, Magnetic Field Mitigation Cost Estimates, DRAFT~~ , June 1998b. Author: teppel Date: Tue, Aug 04, 1998 12:38 AM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 64,224 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,1, Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,657,17 Nodecolor: 39321,39325,65535 Formnode Choose_reference_po1 Title: Choose Reference Point Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 576,336 Nodesize: 192,8 Original: Propval_reference Formnode Maximum_risk_ratio16 Title: Maximum Risk Ratio Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 192,88 Nodesize: 188,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Formnode Relative_non_emf_im1 Title: Relative Non-EMF Impact~ (Immediate) Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 576,264 Nodesize: 192,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Propval_nonemfrel Formnode Relative_emf_impact3 Title: Relative EMF Impact~ (Immediate) Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 576,240 Nodesize: 192,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Propval_emfnowrel Formnode Relative_emf_impact2 Title: Relative EMF Impact Due to Research Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 576,288 Nodesize: 192,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Propval_emfresrel Module Scenario_choices Title: Scenario Choices Author: teppel Date: Tue, Jan 26, 1999 2:11 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 56,344 Nodesize: 48,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,17 Formnode Scenario__property_1 Title: Scenario: Property Losses due to Fires Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 208,272 Nodesize: 206,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Scen_ch_propfire Formnode Chosen_scenario__aes Title: Chosen Scenario:~ Aesthetics Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 208,224 Nodesize: 204,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Scen_ch_aesth Formnode Chosen_scenario__out Title: Chosen Scenario:~ Outages Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 208,200 Nodesize: 204,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Scen_ch_out Formnode Chosen_scenario__pro Title: Chosen Scenario:~ Property Values Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 208,176 Nodesize: 204,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Scen_ch_propval Formnode Chosen_cost_scenario Title: Chosen Cost Scenario Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 208,152 Nodesize: 204,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Scen_ch_tpc Formnode Chosen_scenario__co1 Title: Chosen Scenario:~ Construction Fatalities and Injuries Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 208,128 Nodesize: 204,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Scen_ch_constr Formnode Pole_slice1 Title: Pole Slice Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 208,104 Nodesize: 204,8 Original: Scen_ch_coll Formnode Chosen_scenario__pe1 Title: Chosen Scenario:~ Percent of Injuries due to OH T Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 208,80 Nodesize: 204,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Choice_percentinj_oh Formnode Chosen_scenario__per Title: Chosen Scenario: Percent of Fatalities due to OH T Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 208,56 Nodesize: 204,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Scen_ch_firefat Formnode Choice__number_of_w1 Title: Choice: Number of Worker Years Per Mile Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 208,32 Nodesize: 204,8 Original: Scen_ch_workeryears Close Scenario_choices Text Te7 Description: Impact on Property Values Nodelocation: 512,216 Nodesize: 124,14 Nodeinfo: 1,0,0,1,0,0,1,,0, Nodefont: Arial Black, 13 Text Te6 Description: Assumptions about Outages Nodelocation: 160,216 Nodesize: 156,12 Nodeinfo: 1,0,0,1,0,0,1,,0, Nodefont: Arial Black, 13 Formnode Percent_of_outages_l Title: Percent of Outages Leading to Interruptions Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 192,288 Nodesize: 188,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Out_percent Formnode Average_outage_durat Title: Average Outage Duration Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 192,240 Nodesize: 188,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Out_duration Formnode Average_number_of_in Title: Average Number of Interrupted Customers Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 192,264 Nodesize: 188,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Out_customers Formnode Average_property_va1 Title: Average Property Value Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 576,312 Nodesize: 192,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_propvalues Formnode Equivalent_cost__def Title: Equivalent Cost: Definition Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 192,184 Nodesize: 188,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ec_definition Formnode Odds_ratios20 Title: Odds Ratios Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 192,40 Nodesize: 188,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Formnode Base_rates20 Title: Base Rates Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 192,64 Nodesize: 188,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_baserates Formnode Total_annual_o_m_for Title: Total Annual O&M for OH~ (per Mile) Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 576,136 Nodesize: 192,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Om_annualmile Formnode Choose_scenario__o_m Title: Choose Scenario:~ O&M OH Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 576,112 Nodesize: 192,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Scen_ch_om Formnode Fixed_tpc__user_defi Title: Fixed TPC~ (User-Defined) Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 576,88 Nodesize: 192,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Tpc_userfixed Formnode Tpc_per_mile__user_d Title: TPC per Mile~ (User-Defined) Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 576,64 Nodesize: 192,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Tpc_usermile Formnode Choose__tpc_source Title: Choose: TPC Source Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 576,40 Nodesize: 192,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Scen_ch_tpc Text Te3 Description: Cost Specification Nodelocation: 472,16 Nodesize: 88,12 Nodeinfo: 1,0,0,1,0,0,1,,0, Nodefont: Arial Black, 13 Formnode Probability__metric_ Title: Probability~ (Metric) Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 192,136 Nodesize: 188,8 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probmetric Formnode P_hazard_ Title: P(Hazard) Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 192,112 Nodesize: 188,8 Original: Ass_probhazard Text Te5 Description: Tradeoffs Nodelocation: 80,160 Nodesize: 76,12 Nodeinfo: 1,0,0,1,0,0,1,,0, Nodefont: Arial Black, 13 Text Te2 Description: Exposure - Hazard Assumptions Nodelocation: 136,16 Nodesize: 132,12 Nodeinfo: 1,0,0,1,0,0,1,,0, Nodefont: Arial Black, 13 Close Overview_settings Module Overview_results Title: Detailed Results Description: This diagram lets the user examine the results of the mo~~ del at many different levels, ranging from the consequences, expresse~~ d in the natural units of the criteria ("Consequences: All Criteria")~~ to various equivalent costs of subsets of the criteria and consequen~~ ces. For example, the user can take a quick look at the "Eq. Cost: M~~ ajor Criteria," which typically are public health, direct dollar cost~~ (including total project cost, operations and maintenance, and power~~ losses), and property values. In some analyses, noise and disruptio~~ n and outages also become major criteria. The equivalent costs are t~~ he consequences in their natural units multiplied by the unit equival~~ ent cost defined in "Tradeoffs." The yellow nodes access results for~~ all scenario combinations, not just for the ones specified by the us~~ er. Running the model in the "yellow" mode will substantially increa~~ se the total calculation time. Author: teppel Date: Tue, Aug 04, 1998 12:38 AM Defaultsize: 64,28 Nodelocation: 288,224 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,1, Diagstate: 1,1,0,448,245,17 Aliases: Alias Results1 Nodecolor: 39321,39325,65535 Variable Ec_major Title: Eq. Cost:~ Major Criteria Definition: Table(Index_criteria4)( Sum((Equivalentcost*(Select_emf_public+Select_emf_workers)),Index_cri~~ teria1),Sum((Equivalentcost*Select_cost),Index_criteria1),Sum((Equiva~~ lentcost*Select_outages),Index_criteria1),Sum((Equivalentcost*Select_~~ propvalues),Index_criteria1),Sum((Equivalentcost*(((Select_accid_publ~~ ic+Select_accid_workers)+Select_proplosses)+Select_environment)),Inde~~ x_criteria1),Sum(Equivalentcost,Index_criteria1)) Nodelocation: 352,40 Nodesize: 64,28 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,1016,659,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1152,829,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Equivalent_costs__m1 Reformval: [Index_criteria4, Alternatives ] Variable Ec_environment Title: Eq. Cost: Enviornmental Impacts Definition: sum(equivalentcost*select_environment,Index_criteria1) Nodelocation: 488,181 Nodesize: 64,29 Variable Ec_outages Title: Eq. Cost: Outages Definition: sum(equivalentcost*select_outages,Index_criteria1) Nodelocation: 488,116 Nodesize: 64,28 Variable Ec_proplosses Title: Eq. Cost: Property Losses Definition: sum(equivalentcost*select_proplosses,Index_criteria1) Nodelocation: 352,244 Nodesize: 64,28 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,4,800,565,0,MIDM Variable Ec_propvalues Title: Eq. Cost: Property Values Definition: sum(equivalentcost*select_propvalues,Index_criteria1) Nodelocation: 352,184 Nodesize: 64,28 Variable Ec_cost Title: Eq. Cost: Cost Definition: sum(equivalentcost*select_cost,Index_criteria1) Nodelocation: 352,116 Nodesize: 64,28 Valuestate: 1,0,4,800,565,0,MIDM Variable Ec_accid_workers Title: Eq. Cost: Accidents - Workers Definition: sum(equivalentcost*select_accid_workers,Index_criteria1) Nodelocation: 208,309 Nodesize: 64,29 Variable Ec_accid_public Title: Eq. Cost: Accidents - Public Definition: sum(equivalentcost*select_accid_public,Index_criteria1) Nodelocation: 208,244 Nodesize: 64,28 Variable Ec_emf_workers Title: Eq. Cost:~ EMF: Workers Definition: sum(equivalentcost*select_emf_workers,Index_criteria1) Nodelocation: 208,180 Nodesize: 64,28 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Variable Ec_emfpublic Title: Eq. Cost:~ EMF: Public Definition: sum(equivalentcost*select_emf_public,Index_criteria1) Nodelocation: 208,116 Nodesize: 64,28 Windstate: 1,102,90 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:4~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:15M~ Xmaximum:40M~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:10M~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Fontstyle: Arial, 6 Xyexpr: Ec_cost Variable Total_ec1 Title: Eq. Cost:~ Total~ (Slow) Definition: sum(equivalentcost1,Index_criteria1) Nodelocation: 352,376 Nodesize: 64,29 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 65535,49152,1 Reformval: [Alternatives, Scen_tpc ] Variable Equivalentcost1 Title: Eq. Cost:~ All Criteria~ (Slow) Definition: Consequences1*Ec Nodelocation: 208,376 Nodesize: 64,29 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1600,1099,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 65535,49152,1 Reformval: [Alternatives, Index_criteria1 ] Variable Consequences1 Title: Consequences: ~ All Criteria~ (Slow) Definition: Determtable(Index_criteria1)( Bcfa_lelosstot,Bcna_lelosstot,Lfa_lelosstot,Lna_tot,Brfa_lelosstot,Br~~ na_tot,Alz_tot,Ofa_lelosstot,Ona_tot,Bcfc_lelosstot,Bcnc_tot,Lfc_lelo~~ sstot,Lnc_tot,Ofc_lelosstot,Onc_tot,Bcfw_lelosstot,Bcnw_total,Lfw_lel~~ osstot,Lnw_total,Firefat_lelosstot,Fireinj_total,Collfat_lelosstot,Co~~ llinj_total,Elecp_lelosstot,Confat_total,Coninj_total,Elecw_lelosstot~~ ,Tpc_total,Om_total,Loss_costtot,Propval_total,Propfire_total,Propcol~~ l_total,Out_conttotal,Out_inttotal,Aesth_total,Trees_total,Air_total,~~ Noise_total) Nodelocation: 64,376 Nodesize: 64,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1600,1099,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 65535,49152,1 Reformval: [Alternatives, Index_criteria1 ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Ec_total Title: Eq. Cost:~ Total Definition: sum(equivalentcost,Index_criteria1) Nodelocation: 488,40 Nodesize: 64,28 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Fin_switch, Alternatives ] Variable Equivalentcost Title: Eq. Cost:~ All Criteria Definition: Table(Fin_switch)( Fin_discountedec,(Consequences*Ec)) Nodelocation: 208,40 Nodesize: 64,28 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1152,829,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Index_criteria1 ] Variable Consequences Title: Consequences:~ All Criteria Definition: Determtable(Index_criteria1)( Bcfa_lelosstot,Bcna_lelosstot,Lfa_lelosstot,Lna_tot,Brfa_lelosstot,Br~~ na_tot,Alz_tot,Ofa_lelosstot,Ona_tot,Bcfc_lelosstot,Bcnc_tot,Lfc_lelo~~ sstot,Lnc_tot,Ofc_lelosstot,Onc_tot,Bcfw_lelosstot[Scen_workeryears=S~~ cen_ch_workeryears],Bcnw_total[Scen_workeryears=Scen_ch_workeryears],~~ Lfw_lelosstot[Scen_workeryears=Scen_ch_workeryears],Lnw_total[Scen_wo~~ rkeryears=Scen_ch_workeryears],Firefat_lelosstot[Scen_firefat=Scen_ch~~ _firefat],Fireinj_total[Scen_percentinj_oh=Choice_percentinj_oh],Coll~~ fat_lelosstot[Scen_coll=Scen_ch_coll],Collinj_total[Scen_coll=Scen_ch~~ _coll],Elecp_lelosstot[Scen_elecp=Scen_ch_elecp],Confat_leloss[Scen_c~~ onstr=Scen_ch_constr],Coninj_total[Scen_constr=Scen_ch_constr],Elecw_~~ lelosstot[Scen_elecw=Scen_ch_elecw],Tpc_total[Scen_tpc=Scen_ch_tpc, I~~ nd_enertechscen=Scen_ch_enertechscen],Om_total[Scen_om=Scen_ch_om, Sc~~ en_omsource=Scen_ch_omsource],Loss_costtot,Propval_total[Scen_propval~~ =Scen_ch_propval, Fin_switch='No'],Propfire_total[Scen_propfire=Scen_~~ ch_propfire],Propcoll_total[Scen_coll=Scen_ch_coll],Out_conttotal[Sce~~ n_out=Scen_ch_out],Out_inttotal[Scen_out=Scen_ch_out],Aesth_total[Sce~~ n_aesth=Scen_ch_aesth],Trees_total[Scen_trees=Scen_ch_trees],Air_tota~~ l[Scen_air=Scen_ch_air],Noise_total[Scen_noise=Scen_ch_noise]) Nodelocation: 64,40 Nodesize: 64,28 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1152,829,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Index_criteria1 ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Close Overview_results Text Te4 Description: Results Nodelocation: 92,92 Nodesize: 84,12 Nodeinfo: 1,0,0,1,0,0,1,,0, Nodefont: Arial Black, 13 Text Te1 Description: Land Use Policy Analysis~ Module: New Transmission Line~ Case: 115kV - Scenario C Nodelocation: 176,48 Nodesize: 172,39 Nodeinfo: 1,0,0,1,0,0,1,,0, Windstate: 1,274,168 Nodefont: Arial Black, 13 Module Overview_model Title: Model Description: Each Power Grid and Land Use Policy Analysis has the fol~~ lowing building blocks: "Exposure to EMFs," "Alternatives," and "Cri~~ teria." In addition, "Design and Assumptions" and "Tradeoffs" are de~~ fined to produce "Detailed Results." The exposure data are imported ~~ from a model developed in C++ by Jack Adams with a Visual Basic inter~~ face developed by Thomas Eppel (see Decision Insights, Inc., 1999). ~~ Exposures are imported as an array defined by a) the segment of the l~~ ine, b) the mitigation measure, c) the effects function, and d) the d~~ istance from the line. "Alternatives" are land use and engineering o~~ ptions to reduce EMFs. They are defined both in the Analytica models~~ and in the exposure model. The "Alternatives" are evaluated on the ~~ "Criteria," for example on public health risks due to EMF or on total~~ project cost. To evaluate the alternatives on the criteria, models ~~ are used, which are sometimes quite complex. To access the models, t~~ he user can double-click on the "Criteria" node and continue through ~~ the relevant sub-menus. The "Design and Assumptions" node contains a~~ menu of basic inputs that define the mitigation, land use, and popul~~ ation characteristics of the scenario as well as key parameters that ~~ are used throughout the model. The "Tradeoffs" are defined as unit e~~ quivalent costs for each criterion. For example the (default) tradeo~~ ff for one person-year life lost is $100,000. "Sensitivity Analyses" ~~ allow the user to vary the degree of certainty of a hazard and the ri~~ sk ratios used in the model over a wide range to show how sensitive t~~ he decision is to variations in these parameters.~ ~ Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy Analysis. DR~~ AFT, April, 1999 Author: teppel Date: Mon, Jun 15, 1998 10:55 AM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 176,224 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,1, Diagstate: 1,1,0,448,245,17 Nodecolor: 39321,39325,65535 Module Sensitivity_analyses Title: Sensitivity Analyses Description: This menu lets the user access sensitivity analyses on t~~ he "Degree of Certainty: Hazard" and on the "Risk Ratios" for differe~~ nt health endpoints and different target variables. Other sensitive ~~ parameters like the "Probability (Metric)" or the "Maximum Risk Ratio~~ s" can be varied as well in this menu. Author: teppel Date: Mon, Mar 29, 1999 11:46 AM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 360,40 Nodesize: 52,28 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,657,17 Alias Slope_of_dose_resp18 Title: Slope of Dose-Response Function Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 304,260 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Alias Exposure_at_which_to Title: Exposure at which to define Risk Ratio Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 304,136 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_exprr Alias Maximum_risk_ratio15 Title: Maximum Risk Ratio Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 60,332 Nodesize: 52,28 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Degree_of_certaint15 Title: Degree of Certainty:~ Hazard Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 60,133 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_exposure Title: Maximum Exposure Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 180,260 Nodesize: 52,28 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Original: Exp_maxexposure Alias Base_rates Title: Base Rates Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 60,196 Nodesize: 52,28 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_baserates Alias Risk__ratios Title: Risk~ Ratios Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 180,134 Nodesize: 52,28 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Alias Probability__metric1 Title: Probability~ (Metric) Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 60,260 Nodesize: 52,28 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probmetric Formnode Upper_bound_for_sens Title: Upper Bound for Sensitivity Analysis Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 516,16 Nodesize: 172,8 Original: Sens_upperbound Formnode Lower_bound_for_sens Title: Lower Bound for Sensitivity Analysis Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 516,40 Nodesize: 172,8 Original: Sens_lowerbound Formnode Sensitivity__odds_ra Title: Sensitivity:~ Odds Ratios Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 168,40 Nodesize: 160,8 Original: Sens_resoddsratios Module System_variables_for Title: System Variables for~ Sensitivity Description: This menu lets the user access sensitivity analyses on t~~ he "Degree of Certainty: Hazard" and on the "Risk Ratios" for differe~~ nt health endpoints and different target variables. Other sensitive ~~ parameters like the "Probability (Metric)" or the "Maximum Risk Ratio~~ s" can be varied as well in this menu. Author: teppel Date: Sun, Feb 21, 1999 10:03 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 60,405 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodeinfo: 1,0,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,657,17 Variable Sens_resbaserates Title: Sensitivity:~ Base Rates Definition: Whatif( Sens_targets[Ind_sensvar=Sens_ch_targets], Ass_ba~~ serates,Sens_baserates) Nodelocation: 264,376 Nodesize: 52,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,1,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:10~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:0~ Xmaximum:1~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:2~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:7~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Fontstyle: Arial, 6 Reformval: [Sens_range, Alternatives ] Variable Sens_resoddsratios Title: Sensitivity:~ Risk Ratios Definition: Whatif( Sens_targets[Ind_sensvar=Sens_ch_targets], Ass_rr~~ ,Sens_oddsratios) Nodelocation: 352,248 Nodesize: 52,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Sensitivity__odds_ra Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:10~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:0~ Xmaximum:1~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:2~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:7~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Fontstyle: Arial, 6 Reformval: [Sens_range, Alternatives ] Variable Sens_baserates Title: Base Ratios~ (Modified) Definition: If (Ind_healthplus=Choose2) Then Sens_range Else Ass_base~~ rates Nodelocation: 96,232 Nodesize: 52,28 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformval: [Sens_range, Ind_healthplus ] Variable Choose2 Title: Choose:~ Expanded Health Endpoint Definition: Choice(Ind_healthplus,1) Nodelocation: 576,344 Nodesize: 52,38 Variable Sens_oddsratios Title: Odds Ratios~ (Modified) Definition: If (Ind_health=Choose) Then Sens_range Else Ass_rr Nodelocation: 240,216 Nodesize: 52,20 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformval: [Sens_range, Ind_health ] Variable Sens_targets Title: Target Variables Definition: Table(Ind_sensvar)( Ec_total,Ec_emfpublic,(Ec_emfpublic+Ec_cost)) Nodelocation: 464,40 Nodesize: 52,28 Windstate: 1,102,90 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Variable Sens_upperbound Title: Upper Bound for Sensitivity Analysis Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 88,104 Nodesize: 52,29 Aliases: Formnode Upper_bound_for_sens Variable Sens_lowerbound Title: Lower Bound for Sensitivity Analysis Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 608,40 Nodesize: 52,29 Aliases: Formnode Lower_bound_for_sens Variable Sens_ch_targets Title: Choose: Target Variable Definition: Choice(Ind_sensvar,1) Nodelocation: 328,40 Nodesize: 52,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Aliases: Formnode Choose__target_varia Variable Sens_range Title: Range for Sensitivity Analysis Definition: Sequence( Sens_lowerbound, Sens_upperbound, (Sens_upperb~~ ound-Sens_lowerbound)/10 ) Nodelocation: 232,144 Nodesize: 52,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Variable Sens_probhazard Title: Degree of Certainty:~ Hazard~ (Modified) Definition: If (Ind_health=Choose) Then Sens_range Else Ass_probhazar~~ d Nodelocation: 608,168 Nodesize: 52,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformval: [Sens_range, Ind_health ] Variable Choose Title: Choose: Health Endpoint Definition: Choice(Ind_health,0) Nodelocation: 480,232 Nodesize: 52,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Choose1 Domain: ['item 1'] Variable Sens_resprobhazard Title: Sensitivity:~ Degree of Certainty Definition: Whatif( Sens_targets[Ind_sensvar=Sens_ch_targets], ass_pr~~ obhazard,Sens_probhazard) Nodelocation: 208,48 Nodesize: 52,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,1,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Sensitivity1 Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:10~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:0~ Xmaximum:1~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:2~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:7~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Fontstyle: Arial, 6 Reformval: [Sens_range, Alternatives ] Close System_variables_for Formnode Sensitivity1 Title: Sensitivity Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 168,16 Nodesize: 160,8 Original: Sens_resprobhazard Formnode Choose__target_varia Title: Choose: Target Variable Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 168,64 Nodesize: 160,8 Original: Sens_ch_targets Formnode Choose1 Title: Choose Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 168,88 Nodesize: 160,8 Original: Choose Close Sensitivity_analyses Alias Results1 Title: Results Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 360,136 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Nodecolor: 39321,39325,65535 Original: Overview_results Module Model_tradeoffs Title: Tradeoffs Description: Equivalent cost tradeoffs are defined for units of all c~~ riteria in the model, in order to make the consequences on different ~~ criteria commensurable. ~ ~ The literature on the value of life and injuries was used to define d~~ efault values (see, for example, Jones-Lee, 1976; Thaler and Rosen, 1~~ 975; Howard, 1980; Viscusi, 1992, 1993; Tengs, 1995). In addition, a~~ recent interview with five national researchers familiar with the ri~~ sk tradeoff literature (Keeney and von Winterfeldt, 1997) was used to~~ calibrate the tradeoffs. Other values were estimated based on commo~~ n sense reasoning. The default values are:~ ~ One Year of Life-Expectancy Lost: $100,000~ One Non-Fatal Cancer (Adult): $300,000~ One Non-Fatal Cancer (Child): $500,000~ One Alzheimer's Disease: $200,000~ One Serious Injury: $10,000~ One Contingency Hour: $10,000~ One Person-Hour of Electricity Disruption: $10~ One Pole Collision (Property Damage): $10,000~ One Lost Tree: $1,000~ One Person-Day of Noise and Disruption: $10~ One Unit on Aesthetics Scale: $10,000~ ~ Jones-Lee, M.W. The value of life: An economic analysis. Chicago: Ch~~ icago University Press, 1976.~ ~ Howard, R. On making life and death decisions. In R.C. Schwing and ~~ W.R. Alberts (eds.) Societal risk assessment. New York, Plenum Press~~ , 1980, 89-106.~ ~ Tengs, T., et al. Five hundred life-savings intervention and their co~~ st-effectiveness. Risk Analysis, 15, 3, 1995, 369-390.~ ~ Thaler, R. and Rosen, S. The value of saving a life: Evidence from t~~ he labor market. In Terleckyi, N.E. (ed.) Household production and c~~ onsumption. New York: Columbia University Press, 1975, 265-298.~ ~ Viscusi, W,K. Fatal tradeoffs. New York: Oxford University Press, 1~~ 992.~ ~ Viscusi, W.K. The value of risks to life and health. Journal of Eco~~ nomic Literature, 312, 1993, 1912-1946.~ ~ Keeney, R.L. and von Winterfeldt, D. Value tradeoffs for the Hanford~~ tank waste remediation system program. Report No. PNNL-11724, UC-63~~ 0. Ricjland, WA: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, 1997. Author: teppel Date: Tue, Jun 16, 1998 10:47 AM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 208,232 Nodesize: 48,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,245,17 Variable Ec_definition Title: Equivalent Cost Definition: Table(Index_criteria5)( 100K,300K,500K,200K,10K,10,10K,1000,10,10K,10K) Nodelocation: 80,32 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,527,61,416,303,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Equivalent_cost__def Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Numberformat: 1,D,4,2,0,1 Variable Ec Title: Equivalent Cost~ (All Criteria) Definition: Table(Index_criteria1)( Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Year of Life Expectancy'],Ec_defin~~ ition[Index_criteria5='One Non-Fatal Cancer (Adult)'],Ec_definition[I~~ ndex_criteria5='One Year of Life Expectancy'],Ec_definition[Index_cri~~ teria5='One Non-Fatal Cancer (Adult)'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5=~~ 'One Year of Life Expectancy'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Non~~ -Fatal Cancer (Adult)'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Alzheimer ~~ Case'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Year of Life Expectancy'],E~~ c_definition[Index_criteria5='One Non-Fatal Cancer (Adult)'],Ec_defin~~ ition[Index_criteria5='One Year of Life Expectancy'],Ec_definition[In~~ dex_criteria5='One Non-Fatal Cancer (Child)'],Ec_definition[Index_cri~~ teria5='One Year of Life Expectancy'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='~~ One Non-Fatal Cancer (Child)'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Yea~~ r of Life Expectancy'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Non-Fatal C~~ ancer (Child)'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Year of Life Expec~~ tancy'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Non-Fatal Cancer (Adult)']~~ ,Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Year of Life Expectancy'],Ec_defi~~ nition[Index_criteria5='One Non-Fatal Cancer (Adult)'],Ec_definition[~~ Index_criteria5='One Year of Life Expectancy'],Ec_definition[Index_cr~~ iteria5='One Serious Injury'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Year~~ of Life Expectancy'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Serious Inju~~ ry'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Year of Life Expectancy'],Ec_~~ definition[Index_criteria5='One Year of Life Expectancy'],Ec_definiti~~ on[Index_criteria5='One Serious Injury'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria~~ 5='One Year of Life Expectancy'],1,1,1,1,1,1,Ec_definition[Index_crit~~ eria5='One Contingency Hour'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Outa~~ ge Hour'],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Unit on Aesthetics Scale~~ '],Ec_definition[Index_criteria5='One Lost Tree'],1,Ec_definition[Ind~~ ex_criteria5='One Day of Disruption']) Nodelocation: 200,32 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Close Model_tradeoffs Module Uncertainties Title: Exposure to EMFs Author: teppel Date: Tue, May 26, 1998 11:15 AM Defaultsize: 52,28 Nodelocation: 208,40 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodeinfo: 1,0,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Diagstate: 1,1,0,448,245,17 Variable Exp_slope Title: Slope of Dose-Response Function Definition: (Ass_rr-1)/Ass_exprr Nodelocation: 320,352 Nodesize: 56,28 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Aliases: Alias Slope_of_dose_resp18, Alias Slope_of_dose_respon, Alias~~ Slope_of_dose_respo2, Alias Slope_of_dose_respo7, Alias Slope_of_dose_respo9~~ , Alias Slope_of_dose_resp10, Alias Slope_of_dose_respo4, Alias Slope_of_dose_respo1~~ , Alias Slope_of_dose_respo5, Alias Slope_of_dose_respo6, Alias Slope_of_dose_resp12~~ , Alias Slope_of_dose_resp13, Alias Slope_of_dose_respo3, Alias Slope_of_dose_respo8~~ , Alias Slope_of_dose_resp11, Alias Slope_of_dose_resp14 Reformval: [Ind_ef, Ind_health ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Ass_exprr Title: Exposure at which to define Risk Ratio Definition: Table(Ind_ef,Ind_health)( 2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2, 2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2, 2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2, 2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2, 50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50, 20,20,20,20,20,20,20,20, 10,10,10,10,10,10,10,10 ) Nodelocation: 192,352 Nodesize: 52,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Aliases: Alias Exposure_at_which_to Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Ind_ef, Ind_health ] Reformval: [Ind_ef, Ind_health ] Variable Ass_maxrr Title: Maximum Risk Ratios Description: If one would extrapolate the risk ratios linearly to hig~~ h exposures, certain anomalies would occur. For example, a risk rati~~ o of 2 at 2mG TWA would be extrapolated linearly to a risk ratio of a~~ bout 100 at 200mG. This seems unreasonable, considering that the hig~~ hest risk ratios in epidemiological EMF research have been around 5-1~~ 0 (studies in other health areas have found risk ratios as high as 20~~ ). It is therefore more reasonable to define an upper bound of the r~~ isk ratio, using epidemiological evidence, and to use this upper boun~~ d to provide a limit to the dose-response function. The following "~~ Maximum Risk Ratios" were defined based on epidemiological studies (s~~ ee Decision Insights, 1999):~ ~ Alzheimer's Disease: 4~ Adult Brain Cancer: 2~ Adult Leukemia: 2~ Adult Breast Cancer: 2~ Childhood Leukemia: 3~ Childhood Brain Cancer: 3~ ~ Decision Insights, Power Grid and Land Use Policy Analysis, Final Rep~~ ort, 1999. Definition: Table(Ind_ef,Ind_health)( 5,5,5,5,1,5,5,1, 5,5,5,5,1,5,5,1, 5,5,5,5,1,5,5,1, 5,5,5,5,1,5,5,1, 5,5,5,5,1,5,5,1, 5,5,5,5,1,5,5,1, 5,5,5,5,1,5,5,1 ) Nodelocation: 72,352 Nodesize: 52,28 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,462,123,416,303,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Maximum_risk_ratio16, Alias Maximum_risk_ratio15, Alias~~ Maximum_risk_ratios, Alias Maximum_risk_ratio, Alias Maximum_risk_ratio2~~ , Alias Maximum_risk_ratio7, Alias Maximum_risk_ratio9, Alias Maximum_risk_ratio10~~ , Alias Maximum_risk_ratio4, Alias Maximum_risk_ratio1, Alias Maximum_risk_ratio5~~ , Alias Maximum_risk_ratio6, Alias Maximum_risk_ratio12, Alias Maximum_risk_ratio13~~ , Alias Maximum_risk_ratio3, Alias Maximum_risk_ratio8, Alias Maximum_risk_ratio11~~ , Alias Maximum_risk_ratio14 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Ind_ef, Ind_health ] Reformval: [Ind_ef, Ind_health ] Module Mod_exposure Title: Exposure Description: This model reads in the "Exposure Raw Data Plus Backgrou~~ nd" from Jack Adam's exposure simulation model. This is an array of ~~ exposure data defined by a) mitigation measures, b) effects functions~~ , c) different segments, and d) distances from the line. A segment i~~ s a piece of the line. A cell is a rectangle with the length of the ~~ segment and a width that is defined as a distance from the line where~~ exposures will approach background exposure (usually 300-500 feet). ~~ Cells are also indexed by the mitigation measure. Cells are the key~~ building blocks in both Jack Adam's exposure model and in the Analyt~~ ica model. Cells are further subdivided into sub-cells which are row~~ s of fixed width (usually ten feet) paralleling the line. ~ ~ The model lets the user define "Exclusion Zones," such as the Right-~~ of-Way, as sub-cells without people and thus no exposure. Exclusion~~ zones are the main mechanism to model land use alternatives. The de~~ nsity of the "Population" and the percentage of "Adults" and "Childre~~ n" can be defined separately for each segment. The user can also spe~~ cify the percent of time people are exposed in each cell, considering~~ , for example land use (schools, offices, etc.). The default value i~~ s 100%. The "Net Exposure Increase" is determined by subtracting the~~ "Background" exposure. Combining the "Net Exposure Increase" with t~~ he "Exposed Population" the model then calculates the "Average Exposu~~ re" for each mitigation alternative and the "Relative Exposure Reduct~~ ion" due to mitigation. Author: Thomas Eppel Date: Sat, Jan 30, 1999 1:30 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 72,32 Nodesize: 52,28 Diagstate: 1,1,0,448,245,17 Variable Exp_percentexposed Title: Percent of Time Exposed Definition: Table(Ind_side,Ind_segments)( 100,100,100, 100,100,100 ) Nodelocation: 424,32 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Ind_side, Ind_segments ] Variable Exp_rawdataupd Title: Raw Data by Mitigation Definition: Exp_rawdata[Ind_cells=Exp_celldef] Nodelocation: 72,128 Nodesize: 48,24 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_ef, Ind_gridsplus ] Variable Exp_celldef Title: Cell Definition Definition: Table(Ind_mitigation)( 1,2,3) Nodelocation: 184,40 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,1600,1099,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Cell_definition Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Ind_mitigation, Ind_segments ] Reformval: [Ind_mitigation, Ind_segments ] Variable Exp_exposure_mit Title: Exposure by Mitigation Definition: Subscript( Exp_rawdataupd, Ind_gridsplus, Ind_grids ) Nodelocation: 184,128 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:10~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:0~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:-200~ Xmaximum:200~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:20~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Fontstyle: Arial, 8 Reformval: [Ind_ef, Ind_grids ] Variable Exp_background Title: Background Definition: Phys_altseg*slice(Slice( Exp_rawdata, Ind_gridsplus,Size(~~ Ind_gridsplus)),Ind_cells,1) Nodelocation: 72,336 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_segments, Ind_ef ] Variable Exp_rawdata Title: Exposure Raw Data Plus Background Definition: Table(Ind_ef,Ind_gridsplus,Ind_cells)( 1.42,1.11,1.11, 1.46,1.12,1.12, 1.51,1.13,1.13, 1.57,1.14,1.14, 1.63,1.16,1.16, 1.7,1.17,1.17, 1.78,1.19,1.19, 1.88,1.21,1.2, 1.99,1.23,1.23, 2.11,1.26,1.25, 2.25,1.29,1.28, 2.42,1.32,1.31, 2.62,1.37,1.35, 2.85,1.42,1.4, 3.13,1.48,1.46, 3.45,1.56,1.53, 3.85,1.67,1.62, 4.33,1.8,1.73, 4.92,1.97,1.88, 5.64,2.19,2.07, 6.54,2.49,2.33, 7.66,2.89,2.68, 9.08,3.44,3.18, 10.87,4.18,3.9, 13.12,5.18,4.98, 15.93,6.53,6.65, 19.3,8.28,9.37, 23.1,10.4,14.28, 26.75,12.58,27.59, 29.12,14.09,155.87, 29.07,14.12,150.11, 26.65,12.65,28.57, 23,10.49,11.68, 19.24,8.39,7.04, 15.9,6.66,5.14, 13.12,5.32,4.09, 10.89,4.32,3.41, 9.12,3.58,2.93, 7.71,3.04,2.58, 6.6,2.63,2.31, 5.7,2.33,2.11, 4.98,2.09,1.94, 4.39,1.92,1.81, 3.91,1.78,1.71, 3.52,1.66,1.62, 3.19,1.57,1.54, 2.91,1.5,1.48, 2.68,1.44,1.43, 2.48,1.39,1.39, 2.31,1.35,1.35, 2.16,1.31,1.31, 2.03,1.28,1.29, 1.92,1.25,1.26, 1.83,1.23,1.24, 1.74,1.21,1.22, 1.67,1.19,1.2, 1.6,1.18,1.18, 1.55,1.16,1.17, 1.5,1.15,1.16, 1.45,1.14,1.14, 0.97,0.97,0.97, 0.43,0.34,0.34, 0.45,0.35,0.35, 0.49,0.35,0.35, 0.53,0.36,0.36, 0.59,0.36,0.36, 0.67,0.37,0.37, 0.78,0.37,0.38, 0.92,0.39,0.39, 1.09,0.4,0.41, 1.3,0.41,0.42, 1.54,0.44,0.44, 1.81,0.46,0.46, 2.12,0.5,0.49, 2.45,0.54,0.52, 2.83,0.59,0.56, 3.25,0.67,0.62, 3.72,0.77,0.69, 4.27,0.9,0.79, 4.89,1.1,0.95, 5.63,1.41,1.19, 6.53,1.85,1.55, 7.66,2.46,2.1, 9.08,3.21,2.88, 10.87,4.1,3.81, 13.12,5.17,4.96, 15.93,6.53,6.65, 19.3,8.28,9.37, 23.1,10.4,14.28, 26.75,12.58,27.59, 29.12,14.09,155.87, 29.07,14.12,150.11, 26.65,12.65,28.57, 23,10.49,11.68, 19.24,8.39,7.04, 15.9,6.65,5.1, 13.12,5.29,3.93, 10.89,4.2,3.07, 9.12,3.3,2.39, 7.71,2.59,1.91, 6.59,2.04,1.57, 5.69,1.62,1.32, 4.94,1.3,1.12, 4.32,1.07,0.96, 3.78,0.9,0.85, 3.32,0.78,0.75, 2.9,0.69,0.68, 2.53,0.62,0.62, 2.2,0.57,0.57, 1.89,0.52,0.53, 1.61,0.49,0.49, 1.37,0.46,0.47, 1.17,0.43,0.45, 0.99,0.42,0.43, 0.85,0.4,0.41, 0.73,0.39,0.4, 0.64,0.38,0.39, 0.58,0.37,0.38, 0.53,0.36,0.37, 0.49,0.36,0.37, 0.46,0.35,0.36, 0.32,0.32,0.32, 0.21,0.21,0.21, 0.22,0.21,0.21, 0.22,0.21,0.21, 0.22,0.21,0.21, 0.22,0.21,0.21, 0.22,0.21,0.21, 0.23,0.21,0.21, 0.23,0.21,0.21, 0.23,0.21,0.21, 0.24,0.21,0.21, 0.25,0.21,0.21, 0.26,0.21,0.21, 0.29,0.22,0.21, 0.33,0.22,0.22, 0.43,0.22,0.22, 0.66,0.23,0.22, 1.17,0.24,0.22, 1.89,0.25,0.23, 2.9,0.27,0.24, 4.09,0.3,0.27, 5.42,0.37,0.34, 7.05,0.53,0.46, 8.8,0.88,0.67, 10.79,1.69,1.28, 13.12,3.13,2.77, 15.93,5.41,5.62, 19.3,7.89,9.24, 23.1,10.31,14.28, 26.75,12.57,27.59, 29.12,14.09,155.87, 29.07,14.11,150.11, 26.65,12.62,28.57, 23,10.38,11.61, 19.24,7.83,6.11, 15.9,5.38,3.03, 13.1,3.46,1.73, 10.79,2.06,1.14, 8.79,1.2,0.8, 7.06,0.77,0.57, 5.52,0.51,0.44, 4.19,0.37,0.37, 2.99,0.3,0.33, 2.03,0.26,0.29, 1.31,0.24,0.27, 0.8,0.23,0.25, 0.52,0.22,0.24, 0.38,0.22,0.23, 0.32,0.21,0.22, 0.29,0.21,0.22, 0.27,0.21,0.21, 0.25,0.21,0.21, 0.24,0.21,0.21, 0.23,0.21,0.21, 0.23,0.21,0.21, 0.22,0.21,0.21, 0.22,0.21,0.21, 0.22,0.21,0.21, 0.22,0.21,0.21, 0.21,0.21,0.21, 0.21,0.21,0.21, 0.21,0.21,0.21, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.04, 0.04,0.03,0.04, 0.05,0.04,0.04, 0.05,0.04,0.04, 0.05,0.04,0.04, 0.05,0.04,0.04, 0.06,0.04,0.04, 0.06,0.04,0.04, 0.07,0.04,0.04, 0.08,0.04,0.04, 0.12,0.04,0.04, 0.21,0.05,0.04, 0.62,0.06,0.05, 2.08,0.07,0.05, 4.46,0.08,0.06, 7.54,0.12,0.07, 10.98,0.27,0.19, 15,0.84,0.91, 19.08,2.99,4.62, 23.05,6.53,12.91, 26.74,10.05,27.59, 29.12,12.28,155.87, 29.07,12.29,150.11, 26.63,9.91,28.57, 22.91,6.56,8.65, 18.9,3.49,1.53, 14.86,1.49,0.55, 10.93,0.54,0.29, 7.62,0.21,0.2, 4.53,0.1,0.14, 2.32,0.07,0.08, 0.88,0.06,0.05, 0.28,0.05,0.05, 0.15,0.05,0.04, 0.1,0.04,0.04, 0.08,0.04,0.04, 0.06,0.04,0.04, 0.06,0.04,0.04, 0.06,0.04,0.04, 0.05,0.04,0.04, 0.05,0.04,0.04, 0.05,0.04,0.04, 0.05,0.04,0.04, 0.04,0.04,0.04, 0.04,0.04,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.04,0.03,0.03, 0.03,0.03,0.03, 10.54,7.08,7.09, 11.6,7.2,7.24, 12.98,7.36,7.43, 14.77,7.52,7.64, 17.16,7.73,7.92, 20.35,7.96,8.23, 24.78,8.28,8.64, 30.14,8.71,9.12, 36.24,9.2,9.65, 43.47,9.84,10.29, 51.27,10.71,11.01, 59.43,11.67,11.83, 67.36,12.92,12.78, 74.8,14.43,13.87, 81.85,16.47,15.28, 87.78,19.01,17.08, 92.53,22.43,19.44, 96.24,26.98,22.91, 98.37,33.55,28.26, 99.53,43.24,36.39, 99.98,56.24,47.74, 100,71.81,63.63, 100,85.93,82.05, 100,95.38,94.78, 100,99.25,99.12, 100,100,99.98, 100,100,100, 100,100,100, 100,100,100, 100,100,100, 100,100,100, 100,100,100, 100,100,100, 100,99.99,99.92, 100,99.74,98.07, 100,98.14,90.57, 100,92.59,78.38, 100,82.28,63.94, 100,70.31,52.48, 99.74,58.62,44.44, 99.13,48.18,37.92, 97.87,38.88,32.37, 95.59,31.77,27.77, 92.07,26.57,24.17, 87.6,22.65,21.25, 82.15,19.69,18.83, 75.7,17.37,16.85, 68.63,15.46,15.18, 60.96,13.96,13.75, 53.08,12.64,12.6, 45.34,11.59,11.7, 38.47,10.7,10.97, 32.2,9.95,10.3, 26.91,9.31,9.77, 22.5,8.81,9.33, 19.03,8.39,8.91, 16.37,8.04,8.57, 14.34,7.78,8.27, 12.86,7.54,8.03, 11.64,7.38,7.82, 6.14,6.14,6.14, 2.98,2.89,2.88, 3.01,2.9,2.88, 3.02,2.9,2.89, 3.04,2.9,2.89, 3.07,2.91,2.9, 3.11,2.92,2.91, 3.14,2.93,2.91, 3.2,2.93,2.92, 3.26,2.94,2.92, 3.34,2.95,2.93, 3.47,2.97,2.94, 3.69,3,2.95, 4.08,3.05,2.97, 4.85,3.09,2.99, 6.59,3.12,3.02, 10.58,3.18,3.06, 19.28,3.31,3.1, 30.55,3.51,3.21, 44.98,3.83,3.45, 59.6,4.33,3.9, 72.32,5.47,5.03, 85.39,8.03,6.94, 93.65,13.55,10.25, 98.26,26.11,19.85, 99.95,45.87,41.61, 100,72.72,75.47, 100,91.04,96.98, 100,98.13,99.91, 100,99.77,100, 100,99.9,100, 100,99.82,100, 100,99.43,100, 100,97.43,98.51, 100,86.98,77.18, 100,67.66,41.68, 99.45,47.77,24.08, 97.7,30.27,16.33, 92.39,18.02,11.71, 84.09,11.77,8.18, 72.64,7.7,6.39, 60.06,5.47,5.3, 45.45,4.36,4.71, 32.13,3.72,4.28, 21.22,3.38,3.99, 12.73,3.22,3.61, 7.96,3.12,3.36, 5.65,3.05,3.2, 4.69,2.98,3.06, 4.18,2.95,3.01, 3.82,2.93,2.98, 3.57,2.92,2.96, 3.39,2.91,2.95, 3.28,2.91,2.94, 3.19,2.9,2.93, 3.13,2.9,2.92, 3.07,2.9,2.91, 3.03,2.9,2.91, 3,2.89,2.9, 2.97,2.89,2.9, 2.96,2.88,2.9, 2.86,2.86,2.86, 0.31,0.27,0.28, 0.31,0.28,0.28, 0.32,0.28,0.28, 0.32,0.28,0.28, 0.33,0.28,0.28, 0.33,0.28,0.29, 0.34,0.29,0.29, 0.35,0.29,0.29, 0.37,0.29,0.29, 0.38,0.29,0.3, 0.39,0.29,0.3, 0.4,0.3,0.3, 0.43,0.3,0.31, 0.45,0.31,0.31, 0.47,0.32,0.32, 0.5,0.33,0.32, 0.55,0.34,0.33, 0.63,0.36,0.33, 1,0.37,0.34, 1.77,0.4,0.36, 5.53,0.47,0.39, 18.24,0.57,0.4, 36.82,0.66,0.46, 57.01,1.02,0.61, 74.35,2.33,1.66, 89.41,7.14,7.91, 97.51,24.91,37.46, 99.52,49.92,84.06, 99.91,69.21,99.99, 99.97,78.6,100, 99.95,78.26,100, 99.86,66.4,99.99, 99.03,47.64,62.08, 96.13,27.45,12.3, 87.81,12.31,4.36, 73.03,4.57,2.25, 56.99,1.83,1.64, 36.63,0.85,1.18, 19.97,0.6,0.67, 7.77,0.47,0.41, 2.4,0.42,0.38, 1.28,0.39,0.36, 0.84,0.37,0.35, 0.64,0.35,0.34, 0.52,0.34,0.33, 0.48,0.33,0.32, 0.46,0.32,0.31, 0.44,0.32,0.31, 0.42,0.31,0.31, 0.4,0.31,0.3, 0.39,0.3,0.3, 0.37,0.3,0.3, 0.36,0.29,0.29, 0.35,0.29,0.29, 0.34,0.29,0.28, 0.33,0.29,0.28, 0.33,0.28,0.28, 0.31,0.29,0.28, 0.31,0.28,0.27, 0.31,0.28,0.27, 0.25,0.25,0.25 ) Nodelocation: 72,48 Nodesize: 48,38 Windstate: 1,102,90 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,1152,763,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Reformdef: [Ind_ef, Ind_gridsplus ] Reformval: [Ind_ef, Ind_gridsplus ] Numberformat: 1,F,4,4,0,0 Variable Exp_relreduction Title: Relative Exposure Reduction Definition: min([1,1-Exp_average/Exp_average[Alternatives='Triangular~~ Post']]) Nodelocation: 184,488 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1152,829,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Relative_exposure_r1 Reformval: [Ind_ef, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,%,4,2,0,0 Variable Exp_average Title: Average Exposure Definition: sum(sum(Exp_netexposure*Exp_gridexposed_grids,Ind_grids)/~~ Exp_numexposedgrids*Phys_segmentlength/Phys_linelength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 184,408 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Average_exposure_inc Reformval: [Ind_ef, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Children1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 416,488 Nodesize: 52,24 Original: Phys_children Variable Exp_exposedchildren Title: Exposed Children Definition: exp_gridexposed_grid*Phys_children/exp_numexposedgrids Nodelocation: 296,488 Nodesize: 48,24 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1600,1165,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_grids, Ind_segments ] Variable Exp_exposedadults Title: Exposed Adults Definition: exp_gridexposed_grid*Phys_adults/exp_numexposedgrids Nodelocation: 296,408 Nodesize: 48,24 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_grids ] Alias Population2 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 416,336 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Phys_population Alias Adults1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 416,408 Nodesize: 52,24 Original: Phys_adults Variable Exp_netexposure Title: Net Exposure Increase Definition: Exp_percentexposed/100*(Exp_exposure-Exp_background) Nodelocation: 184,336 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_grids ] Variable Exp_exposure Title: Exposure Definition: Phys_altseg*Exp_exposure_mit[Ind_mitigation=Phys_mitig_al~~ t] Nodelocation: 184,184 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1152,763,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_grids ] Variable Exp_exposedpop Title: Exposed Population Definition: exp_gridexposed_grid*Phys_population/exp_numexposedgrids Nodelocation: 296,336 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1600,1165,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_grids, Undefined ] Variable Exp_numexposedgrids Title: Number of Exposed Grids Definition: sum(exp_gridexposed_grid,ind_grids) Nodelocation: 424,160 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1600,1165,0,MIDM Variable Exp_gridexposed_grid Title: Is Population in Grid Exposed to EMFs? Definition: If (Abs(Ind_grids) 2 mG: 50%~ Overhead, > 5 mG: 25%~ Overhead, >10 mG: 10%~ ~ Underground, average exposure: 4 mG~ Underground, > 2 mG: 100%~ Underground, > 5 mG: 50%~ Underground, > 10 mG: 20%~ ~ Bracken , D. et al. The EMDEX Project: Technology Transfer and Occupa~~ tional Measurements. EPRI EN 7048, Palo Alto: Electric Power Researc~~ h Institute, 1990.~ ~ Theriault, G. et al. Cancer risks associated with occupational expos~~ ure to magnetic fields among utility workers in Ontario and Quebec, C~~ anada and France, 1970-1989. American Journal of Epidemiology, 139, ~~ 550-570, 1994. Definition: Table(Ind_efworker,Ind_linetype)( 2,4, 50,100, 25,50, 10,20 ) Nodelocation: 56,176 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,382,100,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Aliases: Alias Exposure3, Alias Exposure2, Alias Exposure Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Ind_linetype, Ind_efworker ] Reformval: [Ind_linetype, Ind_efworker ] Close Mod_bcfw Close Emf_workers_mod Module Mod_noise Title: Noise and Disruption Description: The noise and disruption model calculates the "Number of~~ Disrupted Person-Days (Total)" due to construction. A key input is ~~ the "Number of Days to Build One Mile of Line (Construction)." The l~~ ow, medium, and high estimates were obtained from William Gray, a con~~ sultant to Decision Insights, Inc. ~ ~ Other inputs are the "Number of Homes per Mile" and the "Average Hous~~ ehold Size." With these inputs one can calculate the "Number of Dis~~ rupted Person-Days per Mile" and, by multiplying this with the number~~ of miles of construction, the "Number of Disrupted Person-Days (Tota~~ l)." Author: teppel Date: Mon, Jun 29, 1998 4:59 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 248,912 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,800,326,17 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Alias Environment4 Title: Environment Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 72,824 Nodesize: 56,24 Original: Environment Variable Noise_total Title: Number of Disrupted Person-Days~ (Total) Definition: Sum(Noise_daysmile*Phys_altseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_seg~~ ments) Nodelocation: 352,224 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_noise, Alternatives ] Variable Scen_ch_noise Title: Chose Scenario:~ Noise and Disruption Definition: Choice(Scen_noise,2) Nodelocation: 352,48 Nodesize: 48,38 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Scen_noise Title: Scenario:~ Noise and Disruption Definition: ['Low','Medium','High'] Nodelocation: 224,48 Nodesize: 48,29 Alias Number_of_homes_per1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 80,144 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Phys_numhomesmile Alias Average_household_s1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 80,224 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_householdsize Variable Noise_daysmile Title: Number of Disrupted Person-Days Per Mile Definition: sum(Ass_constrdays[Ind_mitigation=Phys_mitig_alt]*Noise_p~~ ercent/100*Phys_numhomesmile*Ass_householdsize,Ind_side) Nodelocation: 224,224 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,4,800,565,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_noise, Ind_segments ] Variable Noise_percent Title: Percent of Construction Days With Disruption Definition: 10 Nodelocation: 224,128 Nodesize: 48,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Ass_constrdays Title: Number of Days to Build One Mile of Line (Construction) Description: The following estimates were provided by William Gray, c~~ onsultant to Decision Insights, Inc.:~ ~ Overhead transmission - pole: 2 (low), 3 (medium), 4 (high)~ Overhead transmission - tower: 5 (low), 6 (medium), 7 (high)~ Overhead distribution - pole: 3 (low), 4 (medium), 5 (high) ~ Underground transmission: 30 (low), 70 (medium), 100 (high)~ Underground distribution: 3 (low), 4 (medium), 5 (high)~ ~ William Gray, personal communication, 1998, 1999. Definition: Table(Ind_mitigation,Scen_noise)( 2,3,4, 2,3,4, 30,70,100 ) Nodelocation: 80,48 Nodesize: 60,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,40,50,416,303,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Number_of_days_to_bu Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Scen_noise, Ind_mitigation ] Reformval: [Scen_noise, Ind_mitigation ] Close Mod_noise Module Mod_air Title: Air Pollution Description: This is a fairly complex model that combines the effects~~ of conservation ("Percent Reduction/Increase of Household Electricit~~ y Due to Conservation"), tree shading ("Percent Reduction/Increase of~~ Household Electricity Due to Shading"), and line losses ("Relative L~~ ine Losses by Alternative") on the "Total Increase/Decrease in Requir~~ ed Supply" of electricity. Current California electricity consumptio~~ n is about 219 GWh/year (California Energy Commission, 1997). To sup~~ ply this consumption, approximately 263 GWh/year of electricity need ~~ to be produced. The percent increase/decrease in electricity consump~~ tion and the relative line losses can be translated into a "Percent C~~ hange in Total Electricity Supply." This will lead to approximately ~~ the same percent reduction in production at the fossil fuel power pla~~ nts (about 56% of all California power plants use fossil fuel, see Ca~~ lifornia Energy Commission, 1999). The model assumes that the result~~ ing percentage reduction in the use of fossil fuel plants will lead t~~ o the same reduction in pollution generated by these plants. This re~~ duction is then applied to an estimated "Total Annual Cost of Fossil ~~ Fuel Pollution in California" to determine an annual and then a "Tota~~ l Equivalent Change of Pollution Cost".~ ~ California Energy Commission. 1997 California System Power. Web Sit~~ e: www.energy.ca.gov/electricity/system_power.html., 1999. Author: teppel Date: Mon, Jun 29, 1998 4:59 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 248,856 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,800,326,17 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Alias Environment3 Title: Environment Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 72,824 Nodesize: 56,24 Original: Environment Variable Change_1 Title: Total Increase/Decrease in Electricity Supply Due to Power Los~~ ses Units: kWh Definition: (Air_lr)*Ass_electricusehome*sum(sum(Phys_numhomesmile,In~~ d_side)*Phys_altseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 376,344 Nodesize: 72,40 Variable Air_lr Title: Adjusted Loss Ratio Definition: (Ass_currentuse+Air_loss1+Air_loss2)/Ass_currentuse Nodelocation: 544,344 Nodesize: 48,24 Valuestate: 1,0,4,800,565,0,MIDM Variable Air_loss1 Title: Overall Losses Units: Fraction Definition: Ass_currentsupply-Ass_currentuse Nodelocation: 544,248 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Variable Air_totchange Title: Total Increase/Decrease In Required Supply Units: mWh Definition: (Air_changetotal+Change_1)/1000 Nodelocation: 288,448 Nodesize: 64,32 Reformval: [Scen_air, Alternatives ] Variable Ass_currentsupply Title: Total Electricity Supply in CA~ (Current) Description: Using data provided by the California Energy Commission ~~ (1999), we estimate this number to be about 263 GWh/year.~ ~ California Energy Commission. 1997 California System Power. Web Sit~~ e: www.energy.ca.gov/electricity/system_power.html., 1999. Definition: 263000000 Nodelocation: 616,128 Nodesize: 56,32 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Air_loss2 Title: Relative Line Losses by Alternative Description: This is the line loss calculated in W/ft from the sub-mo~~ del "Power Loss" Definition: Loss_annual Nodelocation: 680,343 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,800,565,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_segments, Alternatives ] Variable Air_total Title: Total Equivalent Change of Pollution Cost Definition: Air_costyear*Timehorizon Nodelocation: 480,712 Nodesize: 60,29 Valuestate: 1,40,50,416,303,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_air, Alternatives ] Variable Air_costyear Title: Equivalent Change of Annual Pollution Cost Definition: Ass_fossilcostca*Air_changepoll/100 Nodelocation: 288,712 Nodesize: 60,38 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_air, Alternatives ] Variable Ass_fossilcostca Title: Total Annual Cost of Fossil Fuel Power Plant Pollution in CA Units: $ Description: It is hard to estimate the cost of air pollution from f~~ ossil fuel power plants. An upper bound might be the cost to elimina~~ te air pollution from fossil fuel power plants. One study in the eig~~ hties (Owen et al., 1983) estimated this cost as $10 billion in capit~~ al cost and $ 2 billion in annual cost for the nation. Taking ten pe~~ rcent of these estimates to account for California and annualizing th~~ e capital cost, the model uses three scenario values of $500 million ~~ (low), $750 million (medium), and $1 billion (high).~ ~ Owen, M.L., Jarvis, J.B., and Behrens, G.P. Boiler radionuclide emis~~ sions control: The feasibility and cost of controlling coal-fired boi~~ ler particulate emissions. Technical Report, Radian Corporation, Aus~~ tin, texas, 1983. Definition: Table(Scen_air)( 500M,750M,1G) Nodelocation: 104,712 Nodesize: 60,38 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Variable Ass_fossilcapca Title: Percent of Fossil Fuel Capacity in CA Units: Percent Description: Using data provided by the California Energy Commission ~~ (1999), we estimate this number to be about 56%.~ ~ California Energy Commission. 1997 California System Power. Web Sit~~ e: www.energy.ca.gov/electricity/system_power.html., 1999. Definition: 56 Nodelocation: 112,624 Nodesize: 60,29 Variable Air_changepoll Title: Percent Change in Pollution Units: Percent Definition: Ass_fossilcapca/100*Air_relchange Nodelocation: 288,624 Nodesize: 60,28 Reformval: [Scen_air, Alternatives ] Variable Air_relchange Title: Percent Change in Total Electricity Supply Units: Percent Definition: Air_totchange/Ass_currentsupply*100 Nodelocation: 288,552 Nodesize: 64,29 Reformval: [Scen_air, Alternatives ] Variable Ass_currentuse Title: Total Electricity Use Per Year in CA (Current) Units: kWh Description: Using data provided by the California Energy Commission ~~ (1999), we estimate this number to be about 219 GWh/year.~ ~ California Energy Commission. 1997 California System Power. Web Sit~~ e: www.energy.ca.gov/electricity/system_power.html., 1999. Definition: 219000000 Nodelocation: 448,128 Nodesize: 60,32 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Air_changetotal Title: Total Increase/Decrease in Electricity Supply of Homes at Line~~ Units: kWh Definition: Air_lr*sum(Air_changehouse*sum(Phys_numhomesmile,Ind_side~~ )*Phys_altseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments){missing ')'} Nodelocation: 216,344 Nodesize: 64,46 Reformval: [Alternatives, Scen_air ] Alias Number_of_homes_per2 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 64,344 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Phys_numhomesmile Variable Air_changehouse Title: Increase/Decrease in Electricity Use due to Shading/Conservati~~ on Units: kWh Definition: Ass_electricusehome*(Air_redconserve/100+Air_redshading[I~~ nd_linetype=Phys_linetype_seg]/100) Nodelocation: 152,248 Nodesize: 72,36 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Scen_air ] Variable Scen_ch_air Title: Chosen Scenario:~ Air Pollution Definition: Choice(Scen_air,2) Nodelocation: 288,32 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Scen_air Title: Scenarios:~ Air Pollution Definition: ['Low','Medium','High'] Nodelocation: 144,32 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Variable Ass_electricusehome Title: Average Household Electricity Use Per Year Units: kWh Description: Using data provided by the California Energy Commission ~~ (1999), we estimate this number to be about 6,000 kWh.~ ~ California Energy Commission. 1997 California System Power. Web Sit~~ e: www.energy.ca.gov/electricity/system_power.html., 1999. Definition: 6000 Nodelocation: 376,248 Nodesize: 48,38 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Air_redconserve Title: Percent Reduction/Increase of Household Electricity Due to Con~~ servation Units: Percent Description: This reduction/increase depends on the policy alternativ~~ e. In most models it is assumed to be 0. In special conservation mo~~ dels, it is assumed to vary between 5% and 20%. Definition: Table(Scen_air)( 0,0,0) Nodelocation: 216,136 Nodesize: 64,44 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Air_redshading Title: Percent Reduction/Increase of Household Electricity Due to Sha~~ ding Units: Percent Description: The default values are 0 for overhead lines, and 0 (low)~~ , -15% (medium), and -20% (high) for undergrounding. Negative number~~ s indicate a decrease in household electricity consumption. Definition: Table(Ind_linetype,Scen_air)( 0,15,20, 0,0,0 ) Nodelocation: 72,136 Nodesize: 64,44 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,40,50,416,303,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Ind_linetype, Scen_air ] Reformval: [Ind_linetype, Scen_air ] Close Mod_air Module Mod_trees Title: Trees Description: This model calculates the "Equivalent Number of Lost Tre~~ es" based on the "Number of Trees per Mile," and the "Percent Reducti~~ on of Foliage due to Overhead Lines." Author: teppel Date: Mon, Jun 29, 1998 4:59 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 248,800 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,800,326,17 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Alias Environment2 Title: Environment Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 72,824 Nodesize: 56,24 Original: Environment Variable Scen_ch_trees Title: Chosen Scenario:~ Trees Definition: Choice(Scen_trees,2) Nodelocation: 56,48 Nodesize: 48,38 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Scen_trees Title: Scenarios:~ Trees Definition: ['Low','Medium','High'] Nodelocation: 56,136 Nodesize: 48,29 Variable Trees_total Title: Equivalent Number of Trees Lost Description: This part of the model calculates the equivalent number ~~ of trees lost as a product of the number of trees per mile, the numbe~~ r of miles, and the percent of foliage lost. For example, with 40 tr~~ ees per mile, 2.5 miles, and 10% foliage reduction, the foliage of 10~~ trees is lost - or, in the model language, ten equivalent trees are ~~ lost. Definition: sum(Trees_numtreesmile*Trees_reduction[Ind_linetype=Phys_~~ linetype_seg]/100*Phys_altseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 344,136 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_trees, Alternatives ] Variable Trees_reduction Title: Percent Reduction of Foliage due to Lines Description: OH lines limit the growth of trees. However, even witho~~ ut lines, trees would be cut regularly for fire, view, and safety rea~~ sons. The user can set the percentage of foliage reduction as a scen~~ ario variable from 10% (low) to 20% (medium) to 30% (high). For the ~~ new construction scenarios, these reductions are used as a penalty fo~~ r OH lines. For retrofits, the loss of foliage is considered a sunk ~~ cost, and the increase in foliage due to retrofits are considered a b~~ enefit. Definition: Table(Ind_linetype,Scen_trees)( 10,20,30, 0,0,0 ) Nodelocation: 192,136 Nodesize: 48,38 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Ind_linetype, Scen_trees ] Reformval: [Ind_linetype, Scen_trees ] Variable Trees_numtreesmile Title: Number of Trees per Mile Description: According to one utility's report, there are 400,000 tre~~ es that need trimming along 9,140 miles of overhead lines (SDG&E, 199~~ 7). This averages out to about 40 trees per mile of OH lines. The u~~ ser can select from a low (30 trees/mile), medium (40 trees/mile) and~~ high (50 trees per mile) scenario. ~ ~ San Diego Gas and Electric. Report to the CPUC. 1997. Definition: Table(Scen_trees)( 30,40,50) Nodelocation: 192,40 Nodesize: 48,29 Defnstate: 1,40,50,416,303,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Close Mod_trees Module Aesthetics_mod Title: Aesthetics Description: This model provides a preliminary scale for the aestheti~~ c impacts of powerlines based on several physical features. The aest~~ hetics scale "penalizes" lines that have a more obtrusive appearance ~~ (e.g., multiple circuits, lattice structure). The scale is to measur~~ e the non-property values impact of aesthetics, for example, due to v~~ isual impacts on drivers or pedestrians passing through the area. ~ ~ At the core of the aesthetics model is a scoring system that expresse~~ s how much "worse" the aesthetic impact of a powerline is than a sing~~ le circuit overhead (OH) configuration for a primary distribution lin~~ e (without underbuilt secondaries or other service lines). The scori~~ ng system is shown below.~ ~ Single Double~ Circuit Circuit or Underbuilt~ ~ OH-Lattice 3 4~ OH-Tubular 2 3~ OH-Pole 1 1.5~ UG 0 0~ ~ Scores for other designs can be judged by reference to these scores. ~~ ~ ~ The model lets the user choose whether aesthetics is applicable in a ~~ scenario ("Include Aesthetics?") and define aesthetics by segments of~~ the line ("Impact on Aesthetics per Mile"). Author: teppel Date: Mon, Jun 29, 1998 4:59 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 248,736 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,800,326,17 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Alias Environment1 Title: Environment Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 72,824 Nodesize: 56,24 Original: Environment Variable Aesth_mile Title: Impact on Aesthetics per Mile Definition: Table(Scen_aesth,Ind_mitigation)( 0.5,1,0, 1,1.5,0, 1.5,2,0 ) Nodelocation: 184,120 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,246,561,416,303,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Impact_on_aesthetics Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Scen_aesth, Ind_mitigation ] Reformval: [Scen_aesth, Ind_mitigation ] Variable Aesth_ch_include Title: Include Aesthetics? Description: This menu lets the user choose whether or not to include~~ aesthetics in the model. "0" means to exclude it "1" means to inclu~~ de it. Definition: Choice(Aesth_include,1) Nodelocation: 56,224 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Aesth_include Title: Selection: Aesthetics Description: This menu defines the labels for whether or not aestheti~~ cs is included in the model (0=no, 1=yes). For example, aesthetics sh~~ ould not be used for transmission or distribution lines on right-of-w~~ ays which do not affect pedestrians or drivers. In this case, only t~~ he aesthetic impact on property values should be counted. Definition: [0,1] Nodelocation: 56,120 Nodesize: 48,29 Variable Scen_ch_aesth Title: Choose Scenario:~ Aesthetics Definition: Choice(Scen_aesth,2) Nodelocation: 56,40 Nodesize: 48,29 Aliases: Formnode Chosen_scenario__aes Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Aesth_total Title: Aesthetics~ (Total) Definition: Aesth_ch_include*sum(Aesth_mile[Ind_mitigation=Phys_mitig~~ _alt]*Phys_altseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 184,224 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_aesth, Alternatives ] Variable Scen_aesth Title: Possible Scenario:~ Aesthetics Description: This menu defines labels for three scenarios for the equ~~ ivalent cost of aesthetic impacts for a one mile stretch of the base ~~ score. Definition: Choice(Self,1) Nodelocation: 184,40 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Domain: ['Low','Medium','High'] Close Aesthetics_mod Module Property_losses_mod Title: Property Losses Description: This model calculates the property losses due to fires a~~ nd pole collisions. Author: teppel Date: Mon, Jun 29, 1998 4:59 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 248,528 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,17 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Alias Property_impacts3 Title: Property Impacts Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 72,496 Nodesize: 56,24 Original: Property_impacts Module Mod_propcoll Title: Property Losses:~ Pole Collisions Description: This model estimates property losses due to utility pole~~ collisions. The key variable is "Collision Risk per Pole." It depe~~ nds on the "Total Number of Pole Collisions in California (CA)," the ~~ "Percent of Utility Poles that are Electrical Utility Poles," the "To~~ tal Miles of OH Lines," and the "Number of Poles per Mile." ~ ~ The "Collision Risk per Mile" for overhead design is the product of t~~ he collision risk per pole times the number of poles per mile. The "~~ Collision Risk per Mile" for undergrounding an existing overhead line~~ is the residual risk, once the poles for overhead distribution are r~~ emoved. If all poles are removed, this residual risk is zero. Howev~~ er, some poles may remain, to support existing structures or non-elec~~ trical utilities. Author: teppel Date: Sun, Aug 02, 1998 9:11 AM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 104,120 Nodesize: 48,38 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,800,326,17 Variable Propcoll_riskmile Title: Collision Risk per Mile Definition: Table(Ind_linetype)( (Propcoll_riskpole*Ass_polesmile),(((Propcoll_riskpole*Ass_polesmile)~~ *(100-Collfat_riskred))/100)) Nodelocation: 328,248 Nodesize: 52,28 Defnstate: 1,40,50,416,303,0,MIDM Alias Chosen_pole_scenari1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,40 Nodesize: 48,38 Original: Scen_ch_coll Variable Propcoll_total Title: Number of Pole Collisions~ (Total) Definition: sum(Propcoll_annual,Index_years) Nodelocation: 472,384 Nodesize: 48,46 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_coll, Alternatives ] Variable Propcoll_annual Title: Annual Number of Pole Collisions Definition: Sum(Propcoll_riskmile[Ind_linetype=Phys_linetype_seg]*Phy~~ s_altseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 328,384 Nodesize: 48,46 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_coll, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,1 Alias Poles_per_mile1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 192,336 Nodesize: 48,24 Original: Ass_polesmile Variable Propcoll_riskpole Title: Collision Risk per Pole Definition: 0*Propcoll_totalca*Ass_percentutpoles/(Ass_milesohtd*Ass_~~ polesmile) Nodelocation: 192,248 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Total_miles_of_oh_t3 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,248 Nodesize: 48,29 Original: Ass_milesohtd Alias Relative_risk__pole1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 328,136 Nodesize: 48,29 Original: Collfat_riskred Alias Pole_scenario2 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 192,40 Nodesize: 48,28 Original: Scen_coll Alias Percent_of_poles_th1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,136 Nodesize: 48,44 Original: Ass_percentutpoles Variable Propcoll_totalca Title: Total Number of Pole Collisions in CA Description: Between 1994 and 1997 there were, on average 126 automob~~ ile crashes with utility pole collisions in California, with 69 fatal~~ ities, 49 injuries, and 8 cases with property damage only (see below)~~ . ~ ~ 1994 1995 ~~ 1996 1997 Average~ Fatal 75 69 ~~ 63 68 69~ Injury 53 39 ~~ 58 44 49~ No Injury 15 10 ~~ 5 3 8~ TOTAL 143 118 1~~ 26 115 126~ ~ Source:~ ~ Fatal Accident Reportin System (FARS), 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997. US De~~ partment of Transportation, National Highway Safety Administration. ~~ FARS Web Site: www-fars.nhtsa.dot.gov, FARS Query System, February, 1~~ 999. Definition: 126 Nodelocation: 56,336 Nodesize: 48,38 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Close Mod_propcoll Module Mod_propfire Title: Property Losses: Fires Description: The model calculates the "Annual Fire Property Loss" due~~ to transmission and distribution lines as a function of the annual "~~ Total Property Losses due to Fires" (about $800 million/year) in Cali~~ fornia and the "Percent of Property Loss due to OH Lines." This perc~~ entage is uncertain (an upper bound is about 11% for all electrical d~~ istribution sources). To accommodate this uncertainty, the model let~~ s the user input reasonable high and low scenarios for the "Percent o~~ f Property Loss due to OH Lines." With the "Annual Fire Property Los~~ s due to OH Lines" for the whole state, and the statewide length of o~~ verhead lines, we can then calculate the "Annual Fire Property due to~~ OH Lines per Mile" of transmission and distribution lines. Applying~~ the length of miles for each segment of the scenario, we can then ca~~ lculate the "Annual Fire Property Loss" summing over segments and, su~~ mming over years (with possible discounting) the "Fire Property Loss ~~ (Total)" can be determined. Author: teppel Date: Sun, Aug 02, 1998 9:11 AM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 104,40 Nodesize: 48,29 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,800,326,17 Variable Propfire_annual Title: Annual Fire Property Loss Description: This table shows the annual fire property loss for each ~~ alternative and for the low and high scenarios. Definition: sum(Propfire_mile[Ind_linetype=Phys_linetype_seg]*Phys_al~~ tseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 304,344 Nodesize: 48,29 Reformval: [Scen_propfire, Alternatives ] Variable Scen_ch_propfire Title: Choose Scenario: Property Losses due to Fires Description: This menu lets the user select a high or low scenario fo~~ r the percent of property losses due to transmission and distribution~~ fires. Definition: Choice(Scen_propfire,2) Nodelocation: 64,48 Nodesize: 48,46 Aliases: Formnode Scenario__property_1 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Propfire_total Title: Fire Property Loss~ (Total) Description: This table shows the total fire property loss for each a~~ lternative and the low and high scenario over the assumed time horizo~~ n. Definition: sum(Propfire_annual,Index_years) Nodelocation: 304,424 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_propfire, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Total_miles_of_oh_t2 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 184,256 Nodesize: 48,24 Original: Ass_milesoht Variable Propfire_mile Title: Annual Fire Property Loss due to OH Lines per Mile Description: This table shows the results of the calculations on a pe~~ r mile basis for both the low and high scenarios Definition: Table(Ind_linetype)( (Propfire_totalohca/Ass_milesoht),0) Nodelocation: 304,255 Nodesize: 48,46 Defnstate: 1,420,256,416,303,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,D,4,2,0,1 Variable Propfire_totalohca Title: Annual Fire Property Loss due to OH Lines Description: This table shows the results of the calculations of prop~~ erty losses due to fires, separately for the low and high scenario. ~~ These estimates are for the whole transmission or distribution system~~ . Definition: Propfire_percentoh/100*Propfire_totalca Nodelocation: 304,168 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,1 Variable Propfire_percentoh Title: Percent of Fires due to OH Lines Description: According to the National Fire Data Center (1978) about ~~ 11% of all fires are due to electrical distribution. This includes ov~~ erhead and underground transmission and distribution. It is unclear ~~ whether this percentage includes wiring in buildings, but the data in~~ the referenced report do not include electrical wiring in buildings ~~ as a separate source from "electrical distribution." In any case, th~~ e 11% figure is an upper bound for the percentage of fires due to dis~~ tribution and transmission lines. We further assume that all fires a~~ re due to overhead (OH) lines, none to underground (UG) lines and tha~~ t the percent of fires is identical to the percent of fatalities (inj~~ uries).~ ~ To reflect the uncertainties in the estimation of this percentage, th~~ e user can use three settings:~ ~ Low: 1%~ Medium: 5%~ High: 15%~ ~ National Fire Data Center. Fire in the United States. Washington, DC:~~ U.S. Department of Commerce, 1978. Definition: Table(Scen_propfire)( 1,5,15) Nodelocation: 184,168 Nodesize: 48,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Scen_propfire Title: Scenarios:~ Property Losses Due to Fires Description: This menu accesses a choice between a low and a high sce~~ nario for the percent of property losses due to transmission and dist~~ ribution fires. Definition: ['Low','Medium','High'] Nodelocation: 64,168 Nodesize: 48,38 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Propfire_totalca Title: Total Property Losses due to Fires in CA Description: This expression specifies the total property loss due to~~ fires in one year in California. The default value of $800 million ~~ is a 10 year average of actual property losses reported in California~~ by the California Fire Marshal (1988).~ ~ California State Fire Marshal. California Fire Incident Reporting Sy~~ stem. Sacramento: Office of the State Fire Marshal, 1988. Definition: 800000000 Nodelocation: 304,48 Nodesize: 48,38 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Close Mod_propfire Close Property_losses_mod Module Outages_mod Title: Contingencies Description: This model calculates the contingency hours due to trans~~ mission line outages. A contingency is a vulnerable state of the tra~~ nsmission line system due to an outage of a line in this system. Eve~~ n though there may not be any customer disruptions, a contingency is ~~ undesirable, because another outage could lead to severe disruptions.~~ The model calculates the product of an estimated "Annual Outage Fre~~ quency per Mile" of transmission line with the "Average Outage Durati~~ on" to obtain the "Expected Annual Outage Duration (per mile) and the~~ "Annual Contingency Hours." Author: teppel Date: Tue, May 26, 1998 11:15 AM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 248,608 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,667,17 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Variable Out_contannual Title: Annual Contingency Hours Description: This menu lets the user access the results of the outage~~ calculations for a single year as a function of the alternatives cho~~ sen and the scenarios. Definition: sum(Out_durationmile[Ind_linetype=Phys_linetype_seg]*Phys~~ _altseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 360,160 Nodesize: 48,28 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Scen_out ] Variable Out_conttotal Title: Contingency Hours~ (Total) Description: This menu lets the user access the total customer-disrup~~ tion hours over the lifetime of the line, as a function of the altern~~ atives chosen and the scenario. Definition: sum(Out_contannual,Index_years) Nodelocation: 504,160 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_out, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Out_durationmile Title: Expected Annual Outage Duration~ (per mile) Description: This table shows the results of multiplying the frequenc~~ y of outages per mile per year with the average duration per occurren~~ ce. Definition: Out_duration*Out_freqmile Nodelocation: 200,160 Nodesize: 48,46 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Variable Out_duration Title: Average Outage Duration Description: This table lets the user edit outage durations by line t~~ ype and OH vs. UG classification. The default values come from the ~~ Canadian Electricity Association (1991-1995) data as reported in Bill~~ inton et al. (1995) and checked against data reported by EPRI (1997).~~ The reported frequencies are for line or cable outages only (not in~~ cluded are outages originating with a failure of terminals, transform~~ er banks, etc.). Only sustained outages (> 1min) are considered.~ ~ Following are the outage durations calculated from the CEA database (~~ CEA, 1995, 1996) and Billinton et al. (1995). All overhead distribut~~ ion line (OH-DL) data refer to 12-80 kV lines. Underground distribut~~ ion lines (UG-DL) are from 17-80 kV lines (mostly 17-40 kV, primarily~~ XLPE). ~ ~ Line Type Outage Duration/Occurrence (h)~ ~ UG-DL 3.6~ UG-115 79.1~ UG 230 111.7~ ~ OH-DL 2.5~ OH-115 6.9~ OH-230 15.0~ ~ Canadian Electricity Association. Forced Outage Performance of Distr~~ ibution Equipment (1991-1992).~ Montreal, CA: CEA, 1995.~ ~ Canadian Electricity Association. Forced Outage Performance of Trans~~ mission Equipment (1991-1995).~ Montreal: CEA, 1996.~ ~ Billinton, R. and Wenyuan, L. Reliability Assessment of Electric Pow~~ er Systems Using Monte Carlo Methods. New York: Plenum Press, 1994. ~~ ~ ~ Electric Power Research Institute. Application of EPRI's Transmissio~~ n Reliability Evaluation for Large-Scale Systems (TRELSS) Program to ~~ Bonneville Power Administration. TR-108815. Palo Alto: EPRI, 1997.~ ~ Billinton, R. et al. Transmission Equipment Reliability Using the Ca~~ nadian Electrical Association Information System. The Reliability of~~ Transmission and Distribution Equipment, March 29-31 Conference Publ~~ ication No. 406, IEE, 1995. Definition: Table(Ind_linetype)( 7.14,17.3) Nodelocation: 56,160 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Average_outage_durat, Alias Average_outage_dura1 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Out_freqmile Title: Annual Outage Frequency per mile Description: This table lets the user edit the annual outage frequenc~~ y for overhead and underground lines for the voltage class and config~~ uration considered in the scenario. The default values come from the~~ Canadian Electricity Association (1991-1995) data as reported in Bil~~ linton et al. (1995) and checked against data reported by EPRI (1997)~~ . The reported frequencies are for line or cable outages only (not i~~ ncluded are outages originating with a failure of terminals, transfor~~ mer banks, etc.). Only sustained outages (> 1min) are considered.~ ~ Following are the frequency data calculated from the CEA database (CE~~ A, 1995, 1996) and Billinton et al. (1995). All overhead distributio~~ n line (OH-DL) data refer to 601-80 kV lines. Underground distributi~~ on lines (UG-DL) are from 17-80 kV lines (mostly 17-40 kV, primarily ~~ XLPE). ~ ~ Line Type Frequency/Mile/Year~ ~ UG-DL 0.0489~ UG-115 0.0058~ UG 230 0.0033~ ~ OH-DL 0.0464~ OH-115 0.0040~ OH-230 0.0016~ ~ Canadian Electricity Association. Forced Outage Performance of Distr~~ ibution Equipment (1991-1992).~ Montreal, CA: CEA, 1995.~ ~ Canadian Electricity Association. Forced Outage Performance of Trans~~ mission Equipment (1991-1995).~ Montreal: CEA, 1996.~ ~ Billinton, R. and Wenyuan, L. Reliability Assessment of Electric Pow~~ er Systems Using Monte Carlo Methods. New York: Plenum Press, 1994. ~~ ~ ~ Electric Power Research Institute. Application of EPRI's Transmissio~~ n Reliability Evaluation for Large-Scale Systems (TRELSS) Program to ~~ Bonneville Power Administration. TR-108815. Palo Alto: EPRI, 1997.~ ~ Billinton, R. et al. Transmission Equipment Reliability Using the Ca~~ nadian Electricity Association Information System. The Reliability o~~ f Transmission and Distribution Equipment, March 29-31 Conference Pub~~ lication No. 406, IEE, 1995. Definition: Table(Ind_linetype)( 0.026,0.01) Nodelocation: 56,48 Nodesize: 48,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,40,50,416,303,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Aliases: Alias Annual_outage_freque Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Service_reliability2 Title: Service Reliability Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 72,608 Nodesize: 56,24 Original: Reliability Close Outages_mod Module Mod_propval Title: Property Values Description: Because so little is known about the property values im~~ pact of electromagnetic fields exposure, the property values model is~~ highly scenario driven. It divides property values impacts into tho~~ se due to an EMF effect (left side of the diagram) and a non-EMF effe~~ ct, e.g. due to aesthetics, noise, and radio interference (middle of ~~ the diagram). As a benchmark, the high-quality property values studi~~ es suggest that there is a property value reduction of around 5-6% fo~~ r properties near transmission lines, mostly due to the visual impact~~ s (see Hamilton and Schwann, 1995; Gregory and von Winterfeldt, 1996)~~ . ~ ~ Based on a user-selected choice of a "Possible Scenario: Property Val~~ ues" (top of the diagram) the model determines the "Relative EMF Imp~~ act (Immediate)" and the "Relative Non-EMF Impact (Immediate)" in per~~ cent depreciation or appreciation. The model also defines the "Relat~~ ive EMF Impact (Research Known)," which is a function of the outcome ~~ of future EMF research (i.e, positive, conflicting, or negative). If~~ research is negative, the properties that are now undervalued due to~~ an EMF effect would appreciate, if research remains conflicting, the~~ y would stay the same, and if research is positive, they may be furth~~ er reduced. ~ ~ The sum of the EMF and non-EMF impacts are determined separately for ~~ each research scenario. With user specified probabilities of the pos~~ sible research outcomes ("Probability(Research)") an expected percent~~ depreciation or appreciation is calculated for a defined year when r~~ esearch becomes known ("Year: Research Known"). With these calculati~~ ons, the "Total Non-EMF Impact" and the "Total EMF Impact" can be cal~~ culated in percent. ~ ~ Other variables that determine the total property value depreciation ~~ or appreciation are the "Number of Homes per Mile" of transmission or~~ distribution line and the "Average Property Value" of a home. Given~~ the total non-EMF impact and the total EMF impact, the number of hom~~ es per mile, the number of miles, and the average property value, the~~ model then calculates the "Total Impact on Property Values."~ ~ The "Choose Reference Point" option allows the user to choose whether~~ the model uses the relative impacts on property values "as defined" ~~ or "switched." For example, if relative impacts are defined as gains~~ for undergrounding a line segment in the "Relative EMF Impact (Immed~~ iate)," "Relative Non-EMF Impact (Immediate)," and "Relative EMF Impa~~ ct (Research Known)" variables then choosing "Switched" from the "Cho~~ ose Reference Point" option will reverse the calculations by penalizi~~ ng line segments that are not underground with the corresponding cost~~ .~ ~ The illustrative use of the property values model is for distribution~~ lines. In the transmission line retrofitting model, higher depreciat~~ ion or appreciation values are used throughout. All retrofitting mod~~ els use appreciation, when a mitigation alternative eliminates the ne~~ gative impacts on property values or when research is negative, depre~~ ciation in case of positive research. Also note that mitigation meas~~ ures that are not likely to affect the perception of the EMF exposure~~ (such as delta configuration or raising the pole height) are not cre~~ dited with appreciation. New Transmission line models use depreciati~~ on for construction that creates new impacts on property values. ~ ~ DISCLAIMER: All values are based on very limited data. Most high-qu~~ ality property values show some depreciation of properties near trans~~ mission lines, though much less is known about distribution lines. M~~ ost of the depreciation appears to be due to visual impacts. It is i~~ mpossible to determine the effect of EMF risks or fears that they may~~ have produced on property values. As a result, the users should rev~~ isit and re-assess all appreciation and depreciation percentages in t~~ hese tables to reflect their own judgments.~ ~ ~ Hamilton, S. and Schwann, G. Do high voltage transmission lines affe~~ ct property value? Land Economics, 71, 1995, 436-44.~ ~ Gregory, R. and von Winterfeldt, D. The effects of electromagnetic f~~ ields from transmission lines on public fears and property values. J~~ ournal of Environmental Management, 48, 1996, 201-214. Author: teppel Date: Tue, May 26, 1998 11:15 AM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 248,472 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,667,17 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Formnode Choose_reference_poi Title: Choose Reference Point Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 568,24 Nodesize: 156,8 Original: Propval_reference Variable Propval_emfresrel2 Title: Updated Relative EMF Impact~ (Research Known) Definition: If Propval_reference='As Defined' Then Propval_emfresrel ~~ Else Propval_emfresrel-Propval_emfresrel[Ind_mitigation='Underground'~~ ] Nodelocation: 336,248 Nodesize: 48,46 Variable Propval_nonemfrel2 Title: Updated Relative Non-EMF Impact~ (Immediate) Definition: If Propval_reference='As Defined' Then Propval_nonemfrel ~~ Else Propval_nonemfrel-Propval_nonemfrel[Ind_mitigation='Underground'~~ ] Nodelocation: 208,248 Nodesize: 48,46 Variable Propval_emfnowrel2 Title: Updated Relative EMF Impact~ (Immediate) Definition: If Propval_reference='As Defined' Then Propval_emfnowrel ~~ Else Propval_emfnowrel-Propval_emfnowrel[Ind_mitigation='Underground'~~ ] Nodelocation: 72,240 Nodesize: 48,38 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_propval, Ind_mitigation ] Variable Propval_reference Title: Choose Reference Point Description: This option allows the user to choose whether the model ~~ uses the relative impacts on property values "as defined" or "switche~~ d." For example, if relative impacts are defined as gains for underg~~ rounding a line segment in the "Relative EMF Impact (Immediate)," "Re~~ lative Non-EMF Impact (Immediate)," and "Relative EMF Impact (Researc~~ h Known)" variables then choosing "Switched" from the "Choose Referen~~ ce Point" option will reverse the calculations by penalizing line seg~~ ments that are not underground with the corresponding cost. Definition: Choice(Self,1) Nodelocation: 336,40 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Aliases: Formnode Choose_reference_po1, Formnode Choose_reference_poi~~ Domain: ['As Defined','Switched'] Variable Propval_emfresfut Title: Total EMF Impact (Research Known) Description: This menu lets the user calculate the results of the EMF~~ Impacts on property values considering the three research scenarios ~~ (positive, conflicting, and negative). The model calculates the expe~~ cted property appreciation or depreciation at the year when research ~~ will be known, and discounts the depreciation or appreciation at a gi~~ ven discount rate that is specified in the financial model (default: ~~ no discounting).~ ~ The user has the ability to edit nine such tables by toggling through~~ the property value scenarios (low, medium, high) and the research ou~~ tcomes (positive, conflicting, negative). Definition: sum(sum(Phys_numhomesmile,Ind_side)*Ass_propvalues*Propva~~ l_emfresrel2[Ind_mitigation=Phys_mitig_alt]/100*Phys_altseg*Phys_segm~~ entlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 336,352 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Index_research, Alternatives ] Variable Propval_emfresrel Title: Relative EMF Impact (Research Known) Description: Positive Research - low, medium and high values for dist~~ ribution lines~ ~ No Change: 0% (low), 5% (medium), 10% (high)~ Compact Delta: 0% (low), 5% (medium), 10% (high)~ Raise Height: 0% (low), 5% (medium), 10%(high)~ Underground: 0% (low), 0% (medium), 0% (high)~ ~ Conflicting Research- low, medium and high values for distribution li~~ nes~ ~ ~ No Change: 0% (low), 0% (medium), 0% (high)~ Compact Delta: 0% (low), 0% (medium), 0% (high)~ Raise Height: 0% (low), 0% (medium), 0%(high)~ Underground: 0% (low), 0% (medium), 0% (high)~ ~ Negative Research- low, medium and high values for distribution lines~~ ~ ~ No Change: 0% (low), -2.5% (medium), -5% (high)~ Compact Delta: 0% (low), -2.5% (medium), -5% (high)~ Raise Height: 0% (low), -2.5% (medium), -5%(high)~ Underground: 0% (low), 0% (medium), 0% (high) Definition: Table(Scen_propval,Ind_mitigation,Index_research)( 0,0,0, 0,0,0, 0,0,0, 0,0,0, 0,0,0, 0,0,0, 0,0,0, 0,0,0, 0,0,0 ) Nodelocation: 336,144 Nodesize: 48,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,109,65,416,303,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Relative_emf_impact2, Formnode Relative_emf_impact1~~ Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Scen_propval, Ind_mitigation ] Variable Propval_nonemf Title: Total Non-EMF Impact~ (Immediate) Description: This table shows the result of the property impacts for ~~ different retrofitting alternatives and different property values sce~~ narios. Negative numbers mean that there is a property values apprec~~ iation due to the retrofitting alternative. This table cannot be edi~~ ted. Definition: sum(sum(Phys_numhomesmile,Ind_side)*Ass_propvalues*Propva~~ l_nonemfrel2[Ind_mitigation=Phys_mitig_alt]/100*Phys_altseg*Phys_segm~~ entlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 208,352 Nodesize: 48,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_propval, Alternatives ] Variable Propval_nonemfrel Title: Relative Non-EMF Impact~ (Immediate) Description: The low, medium, and high scenarios for distribution lin~~ es are~ ~ No Change: 0% (low), 0% (medium), 0% (high)~ Compact Delta: 0% (low), 0% (medium), 0% (high)~ Raise Height: 0% (low), 0% (medium), 0%(high)~ Underground: 0% (low), -2.5% (medium), -5% (high) Definition: Table(Scen_propval,Ind_mitigation)( 0,0,0, 5,5,0, 10,10,0 ) Nodelocation: 208,144 Nodesize: 48,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Relative_non_emf_im1, Formnode Relative_non_emf_imp~~ Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Scen_propval, Ind_mitigation ] Reformval: [Scen_propval, Ind_mitigation ] Variable Propval_emfnow Title: Total EMF Impact~ (Immediate) Description: This table shows the results of the calculations of the ~~ total EMF impact today, depending on the retrofitting alternative cho~~ sen and the property values scenario. For example, the undergroundin~~ g alternative results in an estimated property values appreciation of~~ about $7.925 million dollars in the medium property values scenario.~~ Definition: sum(sum(Phys_numhomesmile,Ind_side)*Ass_propvalues*Propva~~ l_emfnowrel2[Ind_mitigation=Phys_mitig_alt]/100*Phys_altseg*Phys_segm~~ entlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 72,352 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_propval, Alternatives ] Variable Propval_emfnowrel Title: Relative EMF Impact~ (Immediate) Description: The low, medium, and high scenarios for distribution lin~~ es are~ ~ No Change: 0% (low), 0% (medium), 0% (high)~ Compact Delta: 0% (low), 0% (medium), 0% (high)~ Raise Height: 0% (low), 0% (medium), 0%(high)~ Underground: 0% (low), -2.5% (medium), -5% (high) Definition: Table(Scen_propval,Ind_mitigation)( 0,0,0, 5,5,0, 10,10,0 ) Nodelocation: 72,144 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,189,176 Defnstate: 1,256,73,416,303,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-2,1024,733,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Relative_emf_impact3, Formnode Relative_emf_impact_~~ Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Scen_propval, Ind_mitigation ] Reformval: [Scen_propval, Ind_mitigation ] Alias Number_of_homes_per_ Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 72,528 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Phys_numhomesmile Variable Scen_ch_propval Title: Choose Scenario:~ Property Values Description: This menu lets the user choose a low, medium, or high pr~~ operty values scenaerio. Definition: Choice(Scen_propval,2) Nodelocation: 72,48 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Chosen_scenario__pro Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Ass_probres Title: Probability~ (Research) Description: This table defines the probabilities for the three possi~~ ble research outcomes: Positive, Conflicting, and Negative. The defa~~ ult values are p(Positive)=.05, p(Conflicting)=.725, p(Negative)=.225~~ . Definition: Table(Index_research)( 0.05,0.725,0.225) Nodelocation: 336,528 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Propval_emfres Title: Today's EMF Impact (Research Known) Description: This table shows the results of the property values calc~~ ulations based on the resolution of the research in the future for ea~~ ch of the retrofitting alternatives and each of three property values~~ scenarios. For example, with the inputs specified as default values~~ , the expected property values appreciation is $809,400 for the "no c~~ hange" alternative. This appreciation occurs, since the default valu~~ es for the probabilities of research outcomes favor a negative outcom~~ e (some appreciation due to reduction of an existing EMF impact) over~~ a positive outcome (further reduction of property values due to larg~~ er EMF concerns.) This table cannot be edited. Definition: Table(Fin_switch)( (Sum((Propval_emfresfut*Ass_probres),Index_research)/((1+Fin_discount~~ rate)^Ass_yearresknown)),Sum((Propval_emfresfut*Ass_probres),Index_re~~ search)) Nodelocation: 336,439 Nodesize: 64,29 Defnstate: 1,40,50,416,303,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_propval, Alternatives ] Variable Ass_yearresknown Title: Year:~ Research Known Description: This menu specifies the year when the research outcome w~~ ill be known. The default value is 14 years. The user can change th~~ is to any number from 0 (now) to 35 (the useful lifetime of the trans~~ mission or distribution line). Definition: 14 Nodelocation: 456,528 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Scen_propval Title: Possible Scenarios:~ Property Values Description: This menu lets the user access a low, medium, and high p~~ roperty values impact as specified later Definition: Choice(Self,2) Nodelocation: 208,48 Nodesize: 48,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Domain: ['Low','Medium','High'] Variable Ass_propvalues Title: Average Property Value Units: Dollars Description: This menu lets the user access a table that specifies th~~ e average property values by segments of the line. The geographic in~~ formation systems study commissioned by DII (Impact Assessment, 1998)~~ , showed average property values near sub-transmission and transmissi~~ on lines to range from about $125,000 to $185,000 in 1990. Property ~~ values probably decreased during the 90s real estate recession, but m~~ ay be somewhat higher now. Typical values used in the model are $150~~ ,000 and $200,000 depending on segments. ~ ~ Impact Assessment. GIS analysis of State-wide transmission lines. L~~ a Jolla: Impact Assessment, Inc., 1999. Definition: Table(Ind_segments)( 150K,150K,150K) Nodelocation: 208,528 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,330,169,800,499,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Average_property_va1 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Propval_total Title: Total Impact on Property Values Description: This table shows the total property values impacts (both~~ EMF and non-EMF) as a function of the retrofitting alternative sand ~~ the property values scenarios. Definition: Propval_emfnow+Propval_emfres+Propval_nonemf Nodelocation: 528,352 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_propval, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Close Mod_propval Module Mod_om Title: O & M Description: The operation and maintenance (O&M) cost can be either s~~ pecified by selecting one of three scenarios or directly defined by t~~ he user. The costs are specified on an annual per-mile basis. Author: teppel Date: Mon, Jun 29, 1998 4:59 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 248,352 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,800,326,17 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Variable Scen_omsource Title: O&M Sources Definition: ['Scenarios','User-Defined'] Nodelocation: 336,128 Nodesize: 48,24 Variable Scen_ch_omsource Title: Choose O&M Source~ (Scenarios vs. User) Definition: Choice(Scen_omsource,1) Nodelocation: 336,40 Nodesize: 48,38 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Om_usermile Title: User Defined Annual O&M per Mile Units: $ per mile Definition: Table(Ind_linetype)( 1800,1500) Nodelocation: 208,128 Nodesize: 48,29 Defnstate: 1,40,50,416,303,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Om_annual Title: Annual O&M Definition: Table(Scen_omsource)( Sum(((Om_annualmile[Ind_linetype=Phys_linetype_seg]*Phys_altseg)*Phys~~ _segmentlength),Ind_segments),Sum(((Om_usermile[Ind_linetype=Phys_lin~~ etype_seg]*Phys_altseg)*Phys_segmentlength),Ind_segments)) Nodelocation: 208,208 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Scen_om ] Variable Om_annualmile Title: Total Annual O&M Cost~ (per Mile) Description: The O&M costs tend to be somewhat lower for transmission~~ lines than for distribution lines, but both costs are within the ran~~ ge of the scenarios. Some lower costs have been reported by individu~~ al utilities (e.g., SCE reports about $500 per mile for OH and UG dis~~ tribution lines). Also, some higher costs have been reported (e.g., ~~ SDG&E reports about $5,000 per mile for distribution lines, due to a ~~ large charge for tree trimming in one year). However, O&M ranges sho~~ wn in the table below cover most of the data reported by the Californ~~ ia IOUs and by Gorham and Partners (1995). ~ ~ Annual O&M costs per mile~ ~ OH UG ~ High $2,500 $2,000~ Medium $1,800 $1,500~ Low $1,000 $1,000~ ~ Sources:~ ~ Investor Owned Utilities. Report to the CPUC, 1998.~ ~ Gorham and Partners. An analysis of the economics of undergrounding ~~ in the European electric utility sector. London: Gorham and Partners~~ , 1995. Definition: Table(Scen_om,Ind_linetype)( 1000,1000, 1800,1500, 2500,2000 ) Nodelocation: 64,208 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,149,101,416,303,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Total_annual_o_m_for Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Ind_linetype, Scen_om ] Reformval: [Ind_linetype, Scen_om ] Variable Scen_ch_om Title: Choose Scenario:~ O&M Definition: Choice(Scen_om,2) Nodelocation: 64,48 Nodesize: 48,29 Aliases: Formnode Choose_scenario__o_m Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Scen_om Title: Possible Scenarios:~ O&M Definition: ['Low','Medium','High'] Nodelocation: 64,128 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 39321,55707,65535 Variable Om_total Title: O&M~ (Total) Definition: sum(Om_annual,Index_years) Nodelocation: 336,208 Nodesize: 52,28 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_om, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Close Mod_om Module Mod_loss Title: Conductor Losses Description: This model calculates the cost due to conductor losses. ~~ The main input factors are the "Power Loss per Foot" and the "Power ~~ Cost." Both variables have to be specified by the user. Details are~~ given below. The model then calculates the "Annual Power Losses" an~~ d the "Annual Cost Due to Power Losses." Finally, the annual cost ar~~ e multiplied by the projected life (default value: 35 years) to come ~~ up with the "Cost Due to Power Losses (Total)." Some aspects of the ~~ power loss calculations (in particular the specification of "Power Lo~~ ss per Foot") are quite complex and the user is referred to the two E~~ nertech documents cited below that provide more detail about various ~~ assumptions (e.g., about the materials used in different conductors).~~ ~ ~ Enertech Consultants. Electric and Magnetic Field Exposure Assessmen~~ t of Powerline and Non-Powerline Sources for Public School Environmen~~ ts. DRAFT, October 1998a.~ ~ Enertech Consultants, Magnetic Field Mitigation Cost Estimates, DRAFT~~ , June 1998b. Author: teppel Date: Tue, Jun 16, 1998 12:10 AM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 248,408 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,657,17 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Variable Loss_costannual Title: Annual Cost Due to Power Losses Units: $ Definition: Loss_annual*Ass_powercost Nodelocation: 216,120 Nodesize: 48,29 Reformval: [Ind_segments, Alternatives ] Variable Loss_costtot Title: Cost Due to Power Losses~ (Total) Units: $ Definition: sum(Loss_costannual,Index_years) Nodelocation: 344,120 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1152,829,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_segments, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Loss_annual Title: Annual Power Losses Units: kWh Definition: sum(24*365*ftpermile*Loss_lossfoot*Phys_segmentlength,Ind~~ _segments)/1000 Nodelocation: 72,120 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1152,829,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Loss_lossfoot Title: Power Loss per Foot Units: W/f Description: The "Power Loss per Foot" (in W/ft) is calculated from t~~ he peak current I (in Amperes), the conductor resistance R (in Ohms p~~ er mile), the number of conductors NC, and a loss factor LF. The for~~ mula is as follows:~ ~ Power Loss per Foot = I2 x R x NC x LF.~ ~ For underground lines, dielectric losses are an additional factor tha~~ t contributes to power losses.~ ~ The following example illustrates how the "Power Loss per Foot" is ca~~ lculated for different peak currents and for overhead and underground~~ lines in a distribution line scenario.~ ~ Illustration:~ Assuming a peak current of 600 Amperes, three conductors and a loss f~~ actor of 0.33, the "Power Loss per Foot" would be:~ Power Loss per Foot = (600)2 x 0.00002519 x 3 x 0.33 = 8.98~ The resistance value of 0.00002519 is based on a resistance of 0.133 ~~ Ohm/mile (see Enertech reports).~ For XLPE, the "Power Loss per Foot" would be calculated as follows:~ Power Loss per Foot = (600)2 x 3 x 0.00002879 x 0.33 + 0.91 = 11.17~ The resistance is "scaled" from the resistance value used in the over~~ head case, using the relative power losses per foot provided by Enert~~ ech. In this case, the scaling factor is (31.09)/27.2. The addition~~ al 0.91 W/ft accounts for dielectric losses (again, this value is tak~~ en from the Enertech report).~ ~ Enertech Consultants. Electric and Magnetic Field Exposure Assessmen~~ t of Powerline and Non-Powerline Sources for Public School Environmen~~ ts. DRAFT, October 1998a.~ ~ Enertech Consultants, Magnetic Field Mitigation Cost Estimates, DRAFT~~ , June 1998b. Definition: Table(Alternatives)( 16.39,12.41,11.06) Nodelocation: 72,32 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1152,829,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Power_loss_per_foot Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Ind_linetype, Ind_segments ] Reformval: [Ind_linetype, Ind_segments ] Variable Ass_powercost Title: Power Cost Units: $/kWh Description: The "Power Cost" reflects the marginal cost to a utility~~ to provide one kWh of power. The default value is $0.03. Definition: 0.03 Nodelocation: 216,32 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,102,90 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Close Mod_loss Module Mod_tpc Title: TPC Description: This model estimates the "Total Project Cost," i.e., the~~ design, engineering, and construction costs, of the alternatives con~~ sidered based on data by Enertech Consultants (1998a, 1998b). The us~~ e of these documents to estimate costs for the Analytica model is des~~ cribed in Decision Insights, Inc., 1999, Appendix A (Cost). To under~~ stand the component estimates (e.g., engineering/permitting, pole ins~~ tallation/removal, cable cost) users of this model are referred to th~~ e two Enertech sources. Model users can also specify the total proje~~ ct costs directly using "Fixed TPC (User-Defined)" and "TPC per Mile ~~ (User Defined)." To specify the source for the TPC calculations, the~~ user can choose between "Enertech" and "User-Defined" in the "Choose~~ : TPC Sources" node. If Enertech's data are used, the user can also ~~ specify whether to use a low, medium, or high value from the "Choose ~~ Enertech Scenario" node.~ ~ The number and nature of individual TPC components depend on the part~~ icular scenario, in particular what mitigation options are considered~~ . For example, the TPC components for undergrounding are very differ~~ ent from those of split-phasing. Thus, users would have to make subs~~ tantial changes to this module if a new scenario were to be construct~~ ed and if they would like to explicitly model the individual cost com~~ ponents (by using the Enertech reports, for example). On the other h~~ and, the user can always supply fixed and variable (per mile) cost co~~ mponents and choose to run the model with the user supplied values. ~~ This is achieved by choosing "User-Defined" from the "TPC Sources" no~~ de.~ ~ For some alternatives the model assumes the need for capital upgrades~~ to assure that the line can be used for the projected life (default:~~ 35 years). For example, if an existing overhead line is 30 years ol~~ d, the model allows the user to specify the upgrade cost to assure th~~ at this line will have an additional lifetime of 35 years. For new l~~ ines, we assume a 35 year life without capital upgrades. ~ ~ Enertech Consultants. Electric and Magnetic Field Exposure Assessmen~~ t of Powerline and Non-Powerline Sources for Public School Environmen~~ ts. DRAFT, October 1998a.~ ~ Enertech Consultants, Magnetic Field Mitigation Cost Estimates, DRAFT~~ , June 1998b.~ ~ Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy Analysis, App~~ endix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999. Author: teppel Date: Fri, Jun 12, 1998 10:26 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 248,288 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1152,574,17 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Variable Tpc_kdm_3 Title: Moving/Repositioning~ (Underground; kdm/2) Units: $/ft Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 2.47,4.14,5.805) Nodelocation: 352,560 Nodesize: 80,29 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_kdm_12 Title: Dismantling~ (Triangular Post and Split-Phase; kdm) Units: $/ft Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 4.94,8.28,11.61) Nodelocation: 152,496 Nodesize: 80,29 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_kcc_12 Title: Conversion~ (Triangular Post and Split-Phase; kcc) Units: $/structure Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 600,1000,1400) Nodelocation: 152,432 Nodesize: 80,28 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k8_3 Title: Road Crossings~ (Underground; k8) Units: $/ft Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 5.11,5.68,6.25) Nodelocation: 352,496 Nodesize: 60,29 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k7_3 Title: Splicing~ (Underground; k7) Units: $/ft Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 8.6,9.55,10.51) Nodelocation: 352,432 Nodesize: 60,29 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k6_3 Title: Manholes~ (Underground; k6) Units: $/ft Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 11.04,12.27,13.5) Nodelocation: 352,368 Nodesize: 60,29 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k5_3 Title: Duct Bank~ (Underground; k5) Units: $/ft Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 21.55,23.55,25.55) Nodelocation: 352,304 Nodesize: 60,28 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k4_3 Title: Excavation~ (Underground; k4) Units: $/ft Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_segments,Ind_enertechscen)( 19.22,26.16,33.1, 19.22,26.16,33.1, 19.22,26.16,33.1 ) Nodelocation: 352,232 Nodesize: 64,38 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Ind_enertechscen, Ind_segments ] Variable Tpc_k3_3 Title: Cable~ (Underground; k3) Units: $/ft Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 28,32.5,37) Nodelocation: 352,160 Nodesize: 64,29 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k2_3 Title: Potheads~ (Underground; k2) Units: $ Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 119.448K,132.72K,145.992K) Nodelocation: 352,96 Nodesize: 64,28 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k6_2 Title: Stringing~ (Split-Phase; k6) Units: $/ft Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 5.58,6.48,7.38) Nodelocation: 216,368 Nodesize: 60,29 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k5_2 Title: Conductor~ (Split-Phase; k5) Units: $/ft Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 0.75,0.84,0.93) Nodelocation: 216,304 Nodesize: 60,28 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k4_2 Title: Dead-End Structures~ (Split-Phase; k4) Units: $/structure Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 11.68K,12.98K,14.28K) Nodelocation: 216,232 Nodesize: 64,38 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k3_2 Title: Angle Structures~ (Split-Phase; k3) Units: $/structure Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 8800,9780,10.76K) Nodelocation: 216,160 Nodesize: 64,29 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k2_2 Title: Tangent Structures~ (Split-Phase; k2) Units: $/structure Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 5195,5775,6355) Nodelocation: 216,96 Nodesize: 64,28 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k9_123 Title: ROW Clearing - 50'~ (All; k9) Units: $/ft Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 0.95,1.8,2.65) Nodelocation: 152,623 Nodesize: 80,29 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k8_123 Title: ROW Acquisition - 50'~ (All; k8) Units: $/ft Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 75,625,1175) Nodelocation: 152,560 Nodesize: 80,28 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k6_1 Title: Stringing~ (Triangular Post; k6) Units: $/ft Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 4.47,5.19,5.91) Nodelocation: 80,367 Nodesize: 60,29 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k5_1 Title: Conductor~ (Triangular Post; k5) Units: $/ft Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 1.19,1.345,1.5) Nodelocation: 80,304 Nodesize: 60,28 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k4_1 Title: Dead-End Structures~ (Triangular Post; k4) Units: $/structure Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 6335,7040,7745) Nodelocation: 80,232 Nodesize: 64,38 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_k3_1 Title: Angle Structures~ (Triangular Post; k3) Units: $/structure Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 4805,5340,5875) Nodelocation: 80,160 Nodesize: 64,29 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_enertech2 Title: TPC~ (Enertech) Definition: (1+Tpc_k1[Ind_mitigation=Phys_mitig_alt]/100)*Tpc_enertec~~ h1 Nodelocation: 512,424 Nodesize: 48,24 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1152,829,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_enertechscen, Alternatives ] Variable Tpc_enerfixed Title: TPC Fixed~ (Enertech) Definition: Table(Alternatives)( 0,0,Tpc_k2_3) Nodelocation: 472,360 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_enertechscen, Alternatives ] Variable Tpc_k1 Title: Engineering/~ Permitting (k1) Units: % Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999. Definition: Table(Ind_mitigation,Ind_enertechscen)( 15,25,30, 15,25,30, 15,25,30 ) Nodelocation: 80,32 Nodesize: 64,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,40,50,416,303,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Ind_enertechscen, Ind_mitigation ] Reformval: [Ind_enertechscen, Ind_mitigation ] Variable Tpc_enertech1 Title: TPC - ~ Intermediate~ (Enertech) Definition: Sum(Tpc_enermile[Ind_mitigation=Phys_mitig_alt]*Phys_alts~~ eg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments)+Tpc_enerfixed Nodelocation: 600,352 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_enertechscen, Alternatives ] Variable Tpc_enermile Title: TPC per Mile~ (Enertech) Definition: Table(Alternatives)( ((((((Tpc_k2_1*0.8)+(Tpc_k3_1*0.1))+((Tpc_k4_1*0.1)+Tpc_kcc_12))*Ftpe~~ rmile)/Tpc_spanwidth)+((((((3*Tpc_k5_1)+Tpc_k6_1)+Tpc_k8_123)+Tpc_k9_~~ 123)+Tpc_kdm_12)*Ftpermile)),((((((Tpc_k2_2*0.8)+(Tpc_k3_2*0.1))+((Tp~~ c_k4_2*0.1)+Tpc_kcc_12))*Ftpermile)/Tpc_spanwidth)+((((((6*Tpc_k5_2)+~~ Tpc_k6_2)+Tpc_k8_123)+Tpc_k9_123)+Tpc_kdm_12)*Ftpermile)),((((((((((3~~ *Tpc_k3_3)+Tpc_k4_3)+Tpc_k5_3)+Tpc_k6_3)+Tpc_k7_3)+Tpc_k8_3)+Tpc_k8_1~~ 23)+Tpc_k9_123)+Tpc_kdm_3)*Ftpermile)) Nodelocation: 472,280 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_enertechscen, Alternatives ] Variable Tpc_k2_1 Title: Tangent Structures~ (Triangular Post; k2) Units: $/structure Description: Decision Insights, Inc. Power Grid and Land Use Policy ~~ Analysis, Appendix A (Cost). DRAFT, April, 1999 Definition: Table(Ind_enertechscen)( 4005,4450,4895) Nodelocation: 80,96 Nodesize: 64,28 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Scen_ch_enertechscen Title: Choose Enertech Scenario Definition: Choice(Ind_enertechscen,2) Nodelocation: 472,64 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_userfixed Title: Fixed TPC~ (User-Defined) Definition: Table(Alternatives)( 0,0,0) Nodelocation: 704,192 Nodesize: 52,28 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1600,1099,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Fixed_tpc__user_defi, Formnode Fixed_tpc__user_def1~~ Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_uservariable Title: Variable TPC by Alternative Definition: sum(Phys_segmentlength*Tpc_usermile[Ind_mitigation=Phys_m~~ itig_alt],Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 824,192 Nodesize: 56,28 Windstate: 1,336,228 Valuestate: 1,187,199,602,230,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_segments ] Variable Tpc_usermile Title: TPC per Mile~ (User-Defined) Definition: Table(Ind_mitigation)( 0,0,0) Nodelocation: 824,80 Nodesize: 56,28 Aliases: Formnode Tpc_per_mile__user_d, Formnode Tpc_per_mile__user_1~~ Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Scen_ch_tpc Title: Choose: TPC Sources Definition: Choice(Scen_tpc,1) Nodelocation: 624,432 Nodesize: 48,24 Valuestate: 1,0,0,1024,733,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Chosen_cost_scenario, Formnode Choose__tpc_source Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Scen_tpc Title: TPC Sources Definition: ['Enertech','User-Defined'] Nodelocation: 752,432 Nodesize: 48,24 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Tpc_spanwidth Title: Span Width Units: Ft Definition: 600 Nodelocation: 472,192 Nodesize: 48,20 Windstate: 1,102,90 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Scen_tpc, Alternatives ] Reformval: [Alternatives, Scen_tpc ] Variable Tpc_total Title: Total Project Cost Definition: Table(Scen_tpc)( Tpc_enertech2,(Tpc_userfixed+Tpc_uservariable)) Nodelocation: 816,352 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,1600,1099,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_tpc, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Close Mod_tpc Module Costs Title: Costs Author: teppel Date: Tue, May 26, 1998 11:15 AM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 72,352 Nodesize: 58,24 Diagstate: 1,212,85,448,245,17 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Close Costs Module Emf_public_mod Title: EMF:~ Public Description: The criterion "EMF: Public" is divided into 15 sub-crite~~ ria. Key distinctions are the health endpoints (leukemia, brain canc~~ er, breast cancer, and Alzheimer's disease), fatal vs. non-fatal heal~~ th effects for cancers, and whether children or adults are affected. ~~ Alzheimer's disease is counted and evaluated as a long-term disease,~~ not as a one-time cause of death. In addition, the user can supply ~~ the information for an unspecified health endpoint by using the four ~~ nodes for fatal and non-fatal "Other Health Effects" for children and~~ adults. The health risk models are very similar across these health~~ endpoints, as illustrated for the criterion "Adult Brain Cancer (Fat~~ al)." Author: teppel Date: Mon, Jun 29, 1998 4:59 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 248,32 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,667,17 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Module Mod_bcfa Title: Adult Brain Cancer (Fatal) Description: This diagram shows how the "Expected Loss of Life Expect~~ ancy (Total)" is calculated. The "Risk Ratios" and "Maximum Risk Rat~~ ios" are used to create dose-response functions, separately for each ~~ health endpoint. This is done as follows. The user inputs "Risk Rat~~ ios" that characterize, separately for each health endpoint, the incr~~ ease in risk at 2mG (or equivalent "medium" exposure for other metric~~ s), assuming that EMF is a hazard. This input defines one point of t~~ he dose-response function. The other point is defined by a risk rati~~ o of 1 at zero mG exposure (or 0% exceedances of a threshold). From ~~ this information, the model calculates the slope of a linear dose-res~~ ponse function (the intercept being at RR=1, Exposure=0). The user a~~ lso specifies the "Maximum Risk Ratio," which is defined as the maxim~~ um factor by which risk can plausibly be increased, if one assumes th~~ at EMF is a hazard. This input provides an upper limit for the risk ~~ ratios and defines an exposure, above which the risk ratio is held co~~ nstant at its upper limit.~ ~ Using the input from Jack Adams' exposure model, the "Slope of the Do~~ se-Response Function," and the "Base Rates" for each health endpoint,~~ the model then calculates "Incremental Risk" in terms of annual fata~~ lity or illness rate due to the line. This incremental risk is multi~~ plied by the number of people exposed to determine the "Potential Num~~ ber of Fatal (or Nonfatal) Cancers per Year," separately for Adults a~~ nd Children, assuming that there is a hazard. The "Expected Number o~~ f Fatal (or Nonfatal) Cancers per Year" are then calculated by multip~~ lying the "Potential Number of Fatal (or Nonfatal) Cancers per Year" ~~ by the "Degree of Certainty: Hazard," which specifies the probability~~ that EMF exposure poses a hazard. In the case of Alzheimer's diseas~~ e, the model considers only the incidence rate and calculates the "Ex~~ pected Number of Annual Alzheimer Cases."~ ~ For fatal cancers, the "Expected Number of Fatal Cancers" are multipl~~ ied with the average "Loss of Life Expectancy" to determine an "Expec~~ ted Annual Loss of Life Expectancy." This annual loss is multiplied ~~ by the lifetime of the line (default: 35 years) to calculate the "Exp~~ ected Loss of Life Expectancy (Total)".~ For nonfatal cancers, the "Expected Number of Non-Fatal Cancers Per Y~~ ear" are multiplied by the lifetime of the line (default: 35 years) t~~ o calculate the "Expected Number of Nonfatal Cancers (Total)." Alzhe~~ imer's disease is treated like a non-fatal cancer. Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 56,88 Nodesize: 52,29 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,494,17 Variable Bcfa_expected Title: Expected Number of Fatal Brain Cancers Per Year (Adult) Definition: sum(sum(Bcfa_potential*(Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='Adult ~~ Brain Cancer']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric,Ind_ef) Nodelocation: 200,376 Nodesize: 52,46 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Loss_of_life_expect1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 320,272 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_lelossadult Variable Bcfa_lelosstot Title: Expected Loss of life Expectancy~ (Total) Definition: sum(Bcfa_leloss,Index_years) Nodelocation: 448,376 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_health, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Bcfa_leloss Title: Expected Annual Loss of Life Expectancy Definition: sum(Ass_lelossadult*Bcfa_expected,Ind_adults) Nodelocation: 320,376 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1600,1165,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Index_years ] Alias Odds_ratios1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 64,48 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Variable Bcfa_potential Title: Potential Number of Fatal Brain Cancers Per Year (Adult) Definition: Sum(Sum( Bcfa_totrisk*Exp_exposedadults,Ind_grids),Ind_si~~ de) Nodelocation: 200,240 Nodesize: 52,46 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Ind_ef, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Bcfa_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Adult Brain Cancer']*Exp_ne~~ texposure,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Adult Brain Cancer']])-1)*Ass_basead[~~ Ind_healthplusad='Adult Brain Cancer - Fatal']*(1-Bcfa_par) Nodelocation: 200,136 Nodesize: 48,24 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_grids ] Alias Maximum_risk_ratio Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,136 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_respon Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 200,48 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Alias Degree_of_certainty_ Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,376 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Variable Bcfa_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Adult Brain Cancer']~~ ] Nodelocation: 64,216 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Alias Base_rates_for_adult Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 344,136 Nodesize: 52,28 Original: Ass_basead Close Mod_bcfa Module Mod_brfa Title: Breast Cancer~ (Fatal) Description: Analogous to Adult Brain Cancer (Fatal) with changes in ~~ base rates and odds ratios. Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 56,216 Nodesize: 52,29 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,494,17 Variable Brfa_potential Title: Potential Number of Fatal Breast Cancers Per Year Definition: sum(sum( Brfa_totrisk*Exp_exposedadults*Ass_percentfemale~~ /100,ind_grids),Ind_side) Nodelocation: 208,264 Nodesize: 52,46 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Ind_ef, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Brfa_expected Title: Expected Number of Fatal Breast Cancers Per Year Definition: Sum(Sum(Brfa_potential*(Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='Breast~~ Cancer']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric,Ind_ef) Nodelocation: 208,400 Nodesize: 52,46 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Loss_of_life_expect2 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 344,288 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_lelossadult Variable Ass_percentfemale Title: Percentage of Females Definition: 50 Nodelocation: 64,264 Nodesize: 48,24 Aliases: Alias Percentage_of_female Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Brfa_lelosstot Title: Expected Loss of Life Expectancy~ (Total) Definition: sum(Brfa_leloss,Index_years) Nodelocation: 472,400 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Brfa_leloss Title: Expected Annual Loss of Life Expectancy Definition: sum(Ass_lelossadult*Brfa_expected,Ind_adults) Nodelocation: 344,400 Nodesize: 48,38 Alias Odds_ratios8 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,40 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Variable Brfa_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Breast Cancer']*Exp_netexpo~~ sure,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Breast Cancer']])-1)*Ass_basead[Ind_health~~ plusad='Breast Cancer - Fatal']*(1-Brfa_par) Nodelocation: 208,144 Nodesize: 48,24 Valuestate: 1,0,4,800,565,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_grids, Ind_ef ] Alias Degree_of_certainty2 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 72,400 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_risk_ratio2 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,144 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_respo2 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 208,40 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Variable Brfa_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Breast Cancer']] Nodelocation: 56,200 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Alias Base_rates_for_adul2 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 344,144 Nodesize: 52,28 Original: Ass_basead Close Mod_brfa Module Alzheimer_mod Title: Alzheimer Description: Analogous to Adult Brain Cancer (Not Fatal) with changes~~ in base rates and odds ratios. Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 168,272 Nodesize: 52,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,667,17 Variable Alz_potential Title: Potential Number of Alzheimer Cases Per Year Definition: sum(sum( Alz_totrisk*Exp_exposedadults,ind_grids),Ind_si~~ de) Nodelocation: 216,256 Nodesize: 52,46 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Alz_expected Title: Expected Number of Annual Alzheimer Cases Definition: sum(Sum(Sum(Alz_potential*(Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='Al~~ zheimer']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric,Ind_ef),Ind_adults) Nodelocation: 216,376 Nodesize: 52,46 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Alz_tot Title: Expected Number of Alzheimer Cases~ (Total) Definition: Sum(Alz_expected,Index_years) Nodelocation: 400,376 Nodesize: 48,46 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Odds_ratios10 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,40 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Variable Alz_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Alzheimer']*Exp_netexposure~~ ,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Alzheimer']])-1)*Ass_basead[Ind_healthplusad='~~ Alzheimer']*(1-Alz_par) Nodelocation: 216,136 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_grids, Ind_ef ] Alias Degree_of_certainty7 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 72,376 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_risk_ratio7 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,136 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_respo7 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 216,40 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Variable Alz_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Alzheimer']] Nodelocation: 56,200 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Alias Base_rates_for_adul7 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 360,136 Nodesize: 52,28 Original: Ass_basead Close Alzheimer_mod Module Mod_bcfc Title: Childhood Brain Cancer~ (Fatal) Description: Analogous to Adult Brain Cancer (Fatal) with changes in ~~ base rates and odds ratios. Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 288,88 Nodesize: 52,29 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,667,17 Variable Bcfc_potential Title: Potential Number of Childhood Brain Cancer Fatalities Per Year~~ Definition: Sum(Sum( Bcfc_totrisk*Exp_exposedchildren,Ind_grids),Ind_~~ side) Nodelocation: 192,256 Nodesize: 52,55 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Bcfc_expected Title: Expected Number of Childhood Brain Cancer Fatalities Per Year Definition: Sum(Sum(Bcfc_potential*(Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='Child~~ hood Brain Cancer']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric,Ind_ef) Nodelocation: 192,392 Nodesize: 52,55 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Loss_of_life_expect3 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 352,280 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Leloss_child Variable Bcfc_lelosstot Title: Expected Loss of Life Expectancy: Childhood Brain Cancers~ (Total) Definition: sum(Bcfc_leloss,Index_years) Nodelocation: 520,392 Nodesize: 68,52 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Bcfc_leloss Title: Annual Loss of Life Expectancy:~ Brain Cancers (Children) Definition: sum(Leloss_child*Bcfc_expected,Ind_children) Nodelocation: 352,392 Nodesize: 48,55 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Alias Odds_ratios11 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 48,32 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Variable Bcfc_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Childhood Brain Cancer']*Ex~~ p_netexposure,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Childhood Brain Cancer']])-1)*Ass~~ _basech[Ind_healthplusch='Childhood Brain Cancer - Fatal']*(1-Bcfc_pa~~ r) Nodelocation: 192,136 Nodesize: 48,24 Reformval: [Ind_grids, Ind_ef ] Alias Degree_of_certainty9 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 64,392 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_risk_ratio9 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,136 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_respo9 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 192,32 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Variable Bcfc_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Childhood Brain Canc~~ er']] Nodelocation: 48,224 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Alias Base_rates_for_child Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 336,136 Nodesize: 52,28 Original: Ass_basech Close Mod_bcfc Module Mod_lfc Title: Childhood Leukemia~ (Fatal) Description: Analogous to Adult Brain Cancer (Fatal) with changes in ~~ base rates and odds ratios. Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 288,152 Nodesize: 52,29 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,494,17 Variable Lfc_potential Title: Potential Number of Fatal Childhood Leukemia Cases Per Year Definition: Sum(Sum( Lfc_totrisk*Exp_exposedchildren,Ind_grids),Ind_s~~ ide) Nodelocation: 216,256 Nodesize: 64,48 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Lfc_expected Title: Expected Number of Fatal Childhood Leukemia Cases Per Year Definition: Sum(Sum(Lfc_potential*(Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='Childho~~ od Leukemia']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric,Ind_ef) Nodelocation: 216,384 Nodesize: 60,48 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Loss_of_life_expect4 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 384,288 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Leloss_child Variable Lfc_lelosstot Title: Expected Loss of Life Expectancy~ (Total) Definition: sum(Lfc_leloss,Index_years) Nodelocation: 520,384 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Lfc_leloss Title: Annual Loss of Life Expectancy:~ Leukemia~ (Children) Definition: sum(Leloss_child*Lfc_expected,Ind_children) Nodelocation: 384,384 Nodesize: 48,46 Alias Odds_ratios13 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,32 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Variable Lfc_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Childhood Leukemia']*Exp_ne~~ texposure,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Childhood Leukemia']])-1)*Ass_basech[~~ Ind_healthplusch='Childhood Leukemia - Fatal']*(1-Lfc_par) Nodelocation: 216,128 Nodesize: 48,24 Reformval: [Ind_grids, Ind_ef ] Alias Degree_of_certaint10 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 72,384 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_risk_ratio10 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,128 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_resp10 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 216,32 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Variable Lfc_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Childhood Leukemia'~~ ]] Nodelocation: 56,216 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Alias Base_rates_for_chil1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 360,128 Nodesize: 52,28 Original: Ass_basech Close Mod_lfc Alias Health_effects__emf Title: Health Effects:~ EMF Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 224,24 Nodesize: 56,24 Original: Emf Module Mod_bcna Title: Adult Brain Cancer~ (Not Fatal) Description: This diagram shows how the Expected Number of Non-Fatal ~~ Cancers are calculated. The logic is identical to that of the calcul~~ ations for Adult Brain Cancers (Fatal). The main difference is in th~~ e settings for the base rates. In addition, non-fatal incidence are ~~ calculated as a model result, without using reductions of life-expect~~ ancies. Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 168,88 Nodesize: 52,29 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,494,17 Variable Bcna_potential Title: Potential Number of Non-Fatal Cases Per Year Definition: Sum(Sum( Bcna_totrisk*Exp_exposedadults,Ind_grids),Ind_si~~ de) Nodelocation: 192,256 Nodesize: 52,46 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Bcna_expected Title: Expected Number of Non-Fatal Cases Per Year Definition: sum(Sum((Sum((Bcna_potential*Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='A~~ dult Brain Cancer']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric),Ind_ef),Ind_adults~~ ) Nodelocation: 192,368 Nodesize: 52,46 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Bcna_lelosstot Title: Expected Number of Non-Fatal Cases~ (Total) Definition: sum(Bcna_expected,Index_years) Nodelocation: 368,368 Nodesize: 48,46 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Odds_ratios2 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,32 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Variable Bcna_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Adult Brain Cancer']*Exp_ne~~ texposure,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Adult Brain Cancer']])-1)*Ass_basead[~~ Ind_healthplusad='Adult Brain Cancer - Nonfatal']*(1-Bcna_par) Nodelocation: 192,136 Nodesize: 48,24 Reformval: [Ind_grids, Ind_ef ] Alias Degree_of_certainty4 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 64,368 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_risk_ratio4 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,136 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_respo4 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 192,32 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Variable Bcna_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Adult Brain Cancer']~~ ] Nodelocation: 56,200 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Alias Base_rates_for_adul4 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 336,136 Nodesize: 52,28 Original: Ass_basead Close Mod_bcna Module Mod_lfa Title: Adult Leukemia~ (Fatal) Description: Analogous to Adult Brain Cancer (Fatal) with changes in ~~ base rates and odds ratios. Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 56,152 Nodesize: 52,29 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,494,17 Variable Lfa_potential Title: Potential Number of Fatal Leukemia Cases Per Year (Adult) Definition: Sum(Sum(Lfa_totrisk*Exp_exposedadults,Ind_grids),Ind_side~~ ) Nodelocation: 192,256 Nodesize: 52,55 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Lfa_expected Title: Expected Number of Fatal Leukemia Cases Per Year (Adult) Definition: Sum((Sum((Lfa_potential*Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='Adult ~~ Leukemia']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric),Ind_ef) Nodelocation: 192,392 Nodesize: 52,55 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Loss_of_life_expecta Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 320,272 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_lelossadult Variable Lfa_lelosstot Title: Expected Loss of Life Expectancy~ (Total) Definition: sum(Lfa_leloss,Index_years) Nodelocation: 464,392 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Lfa_leloss Title: Expected Annual Loss of Life Expectancy Definition: sum(Ass_lelossadult*Lfa_expected,Ind_adults) Nodelocation: 320,392 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,4,800,565,0,MIDM Reformval: [Index_years, Alternatives ] Alias Odds_ratios4 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,40 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Variable Lfa_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Adult Leukemia']*Exp_netexp~~ osure,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Adult Leukemia']])-1)*Ass_basead[Ind_heal~~ thplusad='Adult Leukemia - Fatal']*(1-Lfa_par) Nodelocation: 192,136 Nodesize: 48,24 Alias Degree_of_certainty1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 72,392 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_risk_ratio1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,136 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_respo1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 192,40 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Variable Lfa_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Adult Leukemia']] Nodelocation: 56,216 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Alias Base_rates_for_adul1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 336,136 Nodesize: 52,28 Original: Ass_basead Close Mod_lfa Module Mod_lna Title: Adult Leukemia~ (Not Fatal) Description: Analogous to Adult Brain Cancer (Not Fatal) with changes~~ in base rates and odds ratios. Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 168,152 Nodesize: 52,29 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,494,17 Variable Lna_potential Title: Potential Number of Non-Fatal Cases Per Year Definition: Sum(Sum( Lna_totrisk*Exp_exposedadults,Ind_grids),Ind_sid~~ e) Nodelocation: 200,256 Nodesize: 52,46 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Lna_expected Title: Expected Number of Non-Fatal Cases Per Year Definition: sum(Sum((Sum((Lna_potential*Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='Ad~~ ult Leukemia']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric),Ind_ef),Ind_adults) Nodelocation: 200,392 Nodesize: 52,46 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Lna_tot Title: Expected Number of Non-Fatal Cases~ (Total) Definition: sum(Lna_expected,Index_years) Nodelocation: 344,392 Nodesize: 48,46 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Odds_ratios7 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,32 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Variable Lna_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Adult Leukemia']*Exp_netexp~~ osure,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Adult Leukemia']])-1)*Ass_basead[Ind_heal~~ thplusad='Adult Leukemia - Nonfatal']*(1-Lna_par) Nodelocation: 200,136 Nodesize: 48,24 Reformval: [Ind_grids, Ind_ef ] Alias Degree_of_certainty5 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 72,392 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_risk_ratio5 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,136 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_respo5 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 200,32 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Variable Lna_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Adult Leukemia']] Nodelocation: 56,224 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Alias Base_rates_for_adul5 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 344,136 Nodesize: 52,28 Original: Ass_basead Close Mod_lna Module Mod_brna Title: Breast Cancer~ (Not Fatal) Description: Analogous to Adult Brain Cancer (Not Fatal) with change~~ s in base rates and odds ratios. Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 168,216 Nodesize: 52,29 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,494,17 Variable Brna_potential Title: Potential Number of Non-Fatal Breast Cancers Per Year Definition: Sum(Sum( Brna_totrisk*Exp_exposedadults*Ass_percentfemale~~ /100,Ind_grids),Ind_side) Nodelocation: 224,256 Nodesize: 52,55 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Brna_expected Title: Expected Number of Non-Fatal Breast Cancers Per Year Definition: sum(Sum((Sum((Brna_potential*Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='B~~ reast Cancer']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric),Ind_ef),Ind_adults) Nodelocation: 224,392 Nodesize: 52,55 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Brna_tot Title: Expected Number of Non-Fatal Breast Cancers~ (Total) Definition: sum(Brna_expected,Index_years) Nodelocation: 368,392 Nodesize: 48,55 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Odds_ratios9 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,32 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Alias Percentage_of_female Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 80,256 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_percentfemale Variable Brna_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Breast Cancer']*Exp_netexpo~~ sure,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Breast Cancer']])-1)*Ass_basead[Ind_health~~ plusad='Breast Cancer - Nonfatal']*(1-Brna_par) Nodelocation: 224,128 Nodesize: 48,24 Reformval: [Ind_grids, Ind_ef ] Alias Degree_of_certainty6 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 80,392 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_risk_ratio6 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,128 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_respo6 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 224,32 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Variable Brna_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Breast Cancer']] Nodelocation: 56,184 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Alias Base_rates_for_adul6 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 360,128 Nodesize: 52,28 Original: Ass_basead Close Mod_brna Module Mod_bcnc Title: Childhood Brain Cancer~ (Not Fatal) Description: Analogous to Adult Brain Cancer (Not Fatal) with changes~~ in base rates and odds ratios. Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 408,88 Nodesize: 52,29 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,494,17 Variable Bcnc_potential Title: Potential Number of Non-Fatal Childhood Brain Cancers Per Year~~ Definition: Sum(Sum( Bcnc_totrisk*Exp_exposedchildren,Ind_grids),Ind_~~ side) Nodelocation: 216,272 Nodesize: 52,55 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Bcnc_expected Title: Expected Number of Non-Fatal Childhood Brain Cancers Per Year Definition: sum(Sum((Sum((Bcnc_potential*Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='C~~ hildhood Brain Cancer']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric),Ind_ef),Ind_ch~~ ildren) Nodelocation: 216,408 Nodesize: 52,55 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Bcnc_tot Title: Expected Number of Non-Fatal Childhood Brain Cancers~ (Total) Definition: sum(Bcnc_expected,Index_years) Nodelocation: 384,408 Nodesize: 68,44 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Odds_ratios12 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,32 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Variable Bcnc_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Childhood Brain Cancer']*Ex~~ p_netexposure,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Childhood Brain Cancer']])-1)*Ass~~ _basech[Ind_healthplusch='Childhood Brain Cancer - Nonfatal']*(1-Bcnc~~ _par) Nodelocation: 216,152 Nodesize: 48,24 Reformval: [Ind_grids, Ind_ef ] Alias Degree_of_certaint12 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 64,408 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_risk_ratio12 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,152 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_resp12 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 216,32 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Variable Bcnc_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Childhood Brain Canc~~ er']] Nodelocation: 56,232 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Alias Base_rates_for_chil3 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 360,152 Nodesize: 52,28 Original: Ass_basech Close Mod_bcnc Module Md_lnc Title: Childhood Leukemia~ (Not Fatal) Description: Analogous to Adult Brain Cancer (Not Fatal) with changes~~ in base rates and odds ratios. Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 408,152 Nodesize: 52,29 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,494,17 Variable Lnc_potential Title: Potential Number of Non-Fatal Childhood Leukemia Cases Per Yea~~ r Definition: Sum(Sum( Lnc_totrisk*Exp_exposedchildren,Ind_grids),Ind_s~~ ide) Nodelocation: 208,248 Nodesize: 64,52 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Lnc_expected Title: Expected Number of Non-Fatal Childhood Leukemia Cases Per Year~~ Definition: sum(Sum((Sum((Lnc_potential*Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='Ch~~ ildhood Leukemia']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric),Ind_ef),Ind_childre~~ n) Nodelocation: 208,392 Nodesize: 64,48 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Lnc_tot Title: Expected Number of Non-Fatal Childhood Leukemia Cases~ (Total) Definition: sum(Lnc_expected,Index_years) Nodelocation: 376,392 Nodesize: 68,48 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Odds_ratios14 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,32 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Variable Lnc_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Childhood Leukemia']*Exp_ne~~ texposure,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Childhood Leukemia']])-1)*Ass_basech[~~ Ind_healthplusch='Childhood Leukemia - Nonfatal']*(1-Lnc_par) Nodelocation: 208,128 Nodesize: 48,24 Reformval: [Ind_grids, Ind_ef ] Alias Degree_of_certaint13 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,392 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_risk_ratio13 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,128 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_resp13 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 208,32 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Variable Lnc_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Childhood Leukemia']~~ ] Nodelocation: 56,208 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Alias Base_rates_for_chil4 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 352,128 Nodesize: 52,28 Original: Ass_basech Close Md_lnc Module Mod_ofa Title: Adult ~ Other Health Effect~ (Fatal) Description: This diagram allows the user to create a model for any o~~ ther health endpoint. The calculations are identical to those descri~~ bed in the diagram Adult Brain Cancer (Fatal). Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 56,336 Nodesize: 52,38 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,494,17 Variable Ofa_potential Title: Potential Number of Fatal Other Health Effects Per Year Definition: sum(sum( Ofa_totrisk*Exp_exposedadults*Ofa_subpop/100,ind~~ _grids),Ind_side) Nodelocation: 208,264 Nodesize: 52,46 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Ofa_expected Title: Expected Number of Fatal Other Health Effects Per Year Definition: Sum((Sum((Ofa_potential*Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='Breast~~ Cancer']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric),Ind_ef) Nodelocation: 208,400 Nodesize: 52,46 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Loss_of_life_expect9 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 344,256 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_lelossadult Variable Ofa_subpop Title: Percentage of Affected Subpopulation Definition: 100 Nodelocation: 64,280 Nodesize: 52,36 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Aliases: Alias Percentage_of_affect Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Ofa_lelosstot Title: Expected Loss of Life Expectancy~ (Total) Definition: Sum(Ofa_leloss,Index_years) Nodelocation: 464,400 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Ofa_leloss Title: Expected Loss of Life Expectancy Per Year Definition: sum((Ass_lelossadult*Ofa_expected[Index_years=Index_years~~ ]),Ind_adults) Nodelocation: 344,400 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,4,800,565,0,MIDM Reformval: [Index_years, Alternatives ] Alias Odds_ratios16 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,40 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Variable Ofa_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Adult Other Health Endpoint~~ ']*Exp_netexposure,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Adult Other Health Endpoint'~~ ]])-1)*Ass_basead[Ind_healthplusad='Adult Other Health Endpoint - Fat~~ al']*(1-Ofa_par) Nodelocation: 208,136 Nodesize: 48,24 Reformval: [Ind_grids, Ind_ef ] Alias Degree_of_certainty3 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 80,400 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_risk_ratio3 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,136 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_respo3 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 208,40 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Variable Ofa_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Adult Other Health E~~ ndpoint']] Nodelocation: 56,192 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Alias Base_rates_for_adul3 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 336,136 Nodesize: 52,28 Original: Ass_basead Close Mod_ofa Module Mod_ona Title: Adult~ Other Health Effect~ (Not Fatal) Description: Analogous to Adult Brain Cancer (Not Fatal) with changes~~ in base rates and odds ratios. Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 168,336 Nodesize: 52,38 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,494,17 Variable Ona_potential Title: Potential Number of Non-Fatal Other Health Effects Per Year Definition: Sum(Sum( Ona_totrisk*Exp_exposedadults*Ofa_subpop/100,Ind~~ _grids),Ind_side) Nodelocation: 216,256 Nodesize: 52,55 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Ona_expected Title: Expected Number of Non-Fatal Other Health Effects Per Year Definition: sum(Sum((Sum((Ona_potential*Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='Br~~ east Cancer']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric),Ind_ef),Ind_adults) Nodelocation: 216,392 Nodesize: 52,55 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Ona_tot Title: Expected Number of Non-Fatal Other Health Effects~ (Total) Definition: Sum(Ona_expected,Index_years) Nodelocation: 368,392 Nodesize: 48,55 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Odds_ratios17 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,32 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Alias Percentage_of_affect Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 80,256 Nodesize: 52,36 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ofa_subpop Variable Ona_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Adult Other Health Endpoint~~ ']*Exp_netexposure,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Adult Other Health Endpoint'~~ ]])-1)*Ass_basead[Ind_healthplusad='Adult Other Health Endpoint - Non~~ fatal']*(1-Ona_par) Nodelocation: 216,128 Nodesize: 48,24 Valuestate: 1,0,4,800,565,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_grids, Ind_ef ] Alias Degree_of_certainty8 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 72,392 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_risk_ratio8 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,128 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_respo8 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 216,32 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Variable Ona_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Adult Other Health E~~ ndpoint']] Nodelocation: 56,192 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Alias Base_rates_for_adul8 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 352,128 Nodesize: 52,28 Original: Ass_basead Close Mod_ona Module Mod_ofc Title: Childhood Other Health Effect~ (Fatal) Description: Analogous to Adult Brain Cancer (Fatal) with changes in ~~ base rates and odds ratios. Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 288,336 Nodesize: 52,38 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,494,17 Variable Ofc_potential Title: Potential Number of Childhood Other Health Effects (Fatal) Per~~ Year Definition: Sum(Sum( Ofc_totrisk*Exp_exposedchildren,Ind_grids),Ind_s~~ ide) Nodelocation: 208,264 Nodesize: 52,55 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Ofc_expected Title: Expected Number of Childhood Other Health Effects (Fatal) Per ~~ Year Definition: Sum((Sum((Ofc_potential*Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='Childh~~ ood Brain Cancer']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric),Ind_ef) Nodelocation: 208,392 Nodesize: 52,55 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Loss_of_life_expec10 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 368,280 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Leloss_child Variable Ofc_lelosstot Title: Expected Loss of Life Expectancy: Childhood Other Cancers~ (Total) Definition: Sum(Ofc_leloss,Index_years) Nodelocation: 536,392 Nodesize: 68,52 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Ofc_leloss Title: Loss of Life Expectancy:~ Other Health Effects (Children)~ (By Year) Definition: sum(Leloss_child*Ofc_expected,Ind_children) Nodelocation: 368,392 Nodesize: 48,55 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Alias Odds_ratios18 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,32 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Variable Ofc_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Childhood Other Health Endp~~ oint']*Exp_netexposure,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Childhood Other Health E~~ ndpoint']])-1)*Ass_basech[Ind_healthplusch='Childhood Other Health En~~ dpoint - Fatal']*(1-Ofc_par) Nodelocation: 208,144 Nodesize: 48,24 Reformval: [Ind_grids, Ind_ef ] Alias Degree_of_certaint11 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 64,392 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_risk_ratio11 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,144 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_resp11 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 208,32 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Variable Ofc_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Childhood Other Heal~~ th Endpoint']] Nodelocation: 56,232 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Alias Base_rates_for_chil2 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 368,144 Nodesize: 52,28 Original: Ass_basech Close Mod_ofc Module Mod_onc Title: Childhood Other Health Effect~ (Not Fatal) Description: Analogous to Adult Brain Cancer (Not Fatal) with changes~~ in base rates and odds ratios. Author: teppel Date: Mon, May 18, 1998 4:31 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 408,336 Nodesize: 52,38 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,494,17 Variable Onc_potential Title: Potential Number of Non-Fatal Childhood Other Health Effects P~~ er Year Definition: Sum(Sum( Onc_totrisk*Exp_exposedchildren,Ind_grids),Ind_s~~ ide) Nodelocation: 200,264 Nodesize: 52,63 Nodeinfo: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,,0, Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Graphsetup: Graphtool:0~ Distresol:10~ Diststeps:1~ Cdfresol:5~ Cdfsteps:1~ Symbolsize:6~ Linestyle:1~ Frame:1~ Grid:1~ Ticks:1~ Mesh:1~ Scales:1~ Rotation:45~ Tilt:0~ Depth:70~ Frameauto:1~ Showkey:1~ Xminimum:1~ Xmaximum:5~ Yminimum:0~ Ymaximum:40~ Zminimum:1~ Zmaximum:1~ Xintervals:0~ Yintervals:0~ Includexzero:0~ Includeyzero:0~ Includezzero:0~ Statsselect:[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0]~ Probindex:[5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%]~ Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Onc_expected Title: Expected Number of Non-Fatal Childhood Other Health Effects Pe~~ r Year Definition: sum(Sum((Sum((Onc_potential*Ass_probhazard[Ind_health='Ch~~ ildhood Brain Cancer']),Ind_segments)*Ass_probmetric),Ind_ef),Ind_chi~~ ldren) Nodelocation: 200,400 Nodesize: 52,63 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Ind_ef ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Onc_tot Title: Expected Number of Non-Fatal Childhood Other Health Effects~ (Total) Definition: Sum(Onc_expected,Index_years) Nodelocation: 368,400 Nodesize: 68,44 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Odds_ratios19 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 48,32 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_rr Variable Onc_totrisk Title: Incremental Risk Definition: (min([1+Exp_slope[Ind_health='Childhood Other Health Endp~~ oint']*Exp_netexposure,Ass_maxrr[Ind_health='Childhood Other Health E~~ ndpoint']])-1)*Ass_basech[Ind_healthplusch='Childhood Other Health En~~ dpoint - Nonfatal']*(1-Onc_par) Nodelocation: 200,128 Nodesize: 48,24 Reformval: [Ind_grids, Ind_ef ] Alias Degree_of_certaint14 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,400 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_probhazard Alias Maximum_risk_ratio14 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,128 Nodesize: 52,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_maxrr Alias Slope_of_dose_resp14 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 200,32 Nodesize: 56,28 Original: Exp_slope Variable Onc_par Title: Percent Attributable to EMF Definition: Par[Ind_baserates=Ass_rr[Ind_health='Childhood Other Hea~~ lth Endpoint']] Nodelocation: 56,216 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Close Mod_onc Close Emf_public_mod Module Accidents_public_mod Title: Accidents:~ Public Description: This model calculates the estimated deaths and injuries ~~ due to three causes: fires from transmission or distribution lines, a~~ utomobile collisions with powerline poles, and electrocutions due to ~~ contact with transmission or distribution lines. For electrocutions,~~ only fatalities were considered. Author: teppel Date: Mon, Jun 29, 1998 4:59 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 248,160 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,1,0,448,245,17 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Module Mod_firefat Title: Fatalities due to Fires Description: This model calculates the "Annual Fire Fatalities (Injur~~ ies) per Mile" of overhead transmission and distribution lines in Cal~~ ifornia. The key numbers in this calculation is "Total Deaths in CA" ~~ due to fires - an average of 319 deaths (and about 5,000 injuries) pe~~ r year for a ten year period in the eighties (California State Fire M~~ arshal, 1988). The "Percent of Fatalities due to OH Lines" is very un~~ certain. We used conservative estimates. The combination of total dea~~ ths (or injuries) and percent due to overhead lines, combined with th~~ e "Total Miles of OH Lines," results in an estimate of the "Annual Fi~~ re Fatalities per Mile." The remaining calculations are based on sepa~~ rate segments of a line and using a loss of life expectancy of 35 yea~~ rs for a fatality. ~ ~ California State Fire Marshall. California Fire Incident Reporting Sy~~ stem: Annual Report, 1988. Sacramento: CSFM, 1988. Author: teppel Date: Fri, Jul 31, 1998 12:57 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 160,72 Nodesize: 48,28 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,667,17 Variable Firefat_fatinca Title: Total Deaths in CA Description: This single valued input is the total annual fire deaths~~ (injuries) in California. Using a ten-year average from 1979 to 1988~~ , the default value is 319 deaths and 5,000 injuries per year (Califo~~ rnia State Fire Marshal, 1988).~ ~ California State Fire Marshall. California Fire Incident Reporting Sy~~ stem: Annual Report, 1988. Sacramento: CSFM, 1988. Definition: 319 Nodelocation: 64,64 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Scen_firefat Title: Percent of Fatalities due to OH Lines Description: According to the National Fire Data Center (1978) about ~~ 11% of all fires are due to electrical distribution. This includes ov~~ erhead and underground transmission and distribution. It is unclear ~~ whether this percentage includes wiring in buildings, but the 11% fig~~ ure is certainly close to an upper bound for the percentage of fires ~~ due to distribution and transmission lines. We further assume that a~~ ll fires are due to overhead (OH) lines, none to underground (UG) lin~~ es and that the percent of fires is identical to the percent of fatal~~ ities (injuries).~ ~ To reflect the uncertainties in the estimation of this percentage, th~~ e user can use three settings:~ ~ Low: 1%~ Medium: 5%~ High: 15%~ ~ National Fire Data Center. Fire in the United States. Washington, DC:~~ U.S. Department of Commerce, 1978. Definition: [1,5,15] Nodelocation: 328,64 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,1024,733,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Ass_milesoht Title: Total Miles of OH Lines Description: This single value specifies the total miles of overhead ~~ transmission and distribution lines in California. According to data ~~ provided to the CPUC (Utilities Report to the CPUC, 1997), investor o~~ wned utilities (IOUs) operate some 250,000 miles of overhead lines. ~~ According to the California Energy Commission (1998), the IOUs own ap~~ proximately 78% of California's transmission and distribution system ~~ (California Energy Commission, 1998). Therefore, California has appro~~ ximately 320,000 miles of overhead distribution lines. If we add 43,~~ 000 miles of overhear transmission lines, California has 363,000 mile~~ s of overhead lines. There are also about 100,000 miles of undergrou~~ nd lines, most of which are distribution lines. ~ ~ Utilities Report to the CPUC, 1997.~ ~ California Energy Commission, website: www.energy.ca.gov/electricity/~~ system_power.html, 1998 Definition: 363000 Nodelocation: 64,184 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Aliases: Alias Total_miles_of_oh_t2, Alias Total_miles_of_oh_t_ Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Firefat_fattotal Title: Fire Fatalities due to OH Transmission Definition: Firefat_fatinca*Scen_firefat/100 Nodelocation: 200,64 Nodesize: 48,29 Variable Firefat_fatmile Title: Annual Fire Fatalities per Mile Description: The fire fatalities per mile due to primary overhead dis~~ tribution is calculated by dividing the total fire fatalities due to ~~ primary overhead distribution by the number of primary overhead distr~~ ibution lines. Definition: Table(Ind_linetype)( (Firefat_fattotal/Ass_milesoht),0) Nodelocation: 200,183 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_firefat, Ind_linetype ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Firefat_leloss Title: Annual Loss of Life Expectancy:~ Fire Fatalities Description: Calculated from fatalities and assumed loss of life expe~~ ctancy per fatality. Definition: Firefat_total*Leloss_avgad Nodelocation: 336,280 Nodesize: 48,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Reformval: [Alternatives, Index_years ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Firefat_lelosstot Title: Loss of Life Expectancy: Fire Fatalities~ (Total) Description: Total of loss of life expectancy over the assume time ho~~ rizon. Definition: sum(Firefat_leloss,Index_years) Nodelocation: 464,280 Nodesize: 48,38 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_firefat, Alternatives ] Variable Scen_ch_firefat Title: Choose: Percent of Fatalities due to OH Lines Description: Choose a low, medium, or high number from the menu. Definition: Choice(Scen_firefat,2) Nodelocation: 456,64 Nodesize: 48,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Chosen_scenario__per Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Firefat_total Title: Annual Fire Fatalities~ (Total) Definition: sum(Firefat_fatmile[Ind_linetype=Phys_linetype_seg]*Phys_~~ altseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 200,280 Nodesize: 48,29 Reformval: [Alternatives, Scen_firefat ] Alias Average_loss_of_life Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 336,184 Nodesize: 48,29 Original: Leloss_avgad Close Mod_firefat Module Mod_collfat Title: Fatalities due to Pole Collisions Description: This model estimates fatalities and the associated loss ~~ of life expectancy due to utility pole collisions. The key variable ~~ is "Fatality Risk per Pole." It depends on the "Fatalities from Util~~ ity Pole Collisions in California (CA)," the "Percent of Utility Pole~~ s that are Electrical Utility Poles," the "Total Miles of Overhead (O~~ H) Transmission and Distribution System," and the "Number of Poles pe~~ r Mile." ~ ~ The "Fatality Risk per Mile" for overhead design is the product of th~~ e fatality risk per pole times the number of poles per mile. The "Fa~~ tality Risk per Mile" for undergrounding an existing overhead line is~~ the residual risk, once the poles for overhead distribution are remo~~ ved. If all poles are removed, this residual risk is zero. However,~~ some poles may remain, to support existing structures or non-electri~~ cal utilities. Author: teppel Date: Fri, Jul 31, 1998 12:57 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 280,72 Nodesize: 48,29 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,667,17 Variable Collfat_fatinca Title: Fatalities from Utility Pole Collisions in CA Description: Between 1994 and 1997 there were, on average 126 automo~~ bile crashes with utility pole collisions in California, with 69 fata~~ lities, 49 injuries, and 8 cases with property damage only (see below~~ ). ~ ~ 1994 1995 ~~ 1996 1997 Average~ Fatal 75 69 ~~ 63 68 69~ Injury 53 39 ~~ 58 44 49~ No Injury 15 10 ~~ 5 3 8~ TOTAL 143 118 1~~ 26 115 126~ ~ Source:~ ~ Fatal Accident Reportin System (FARS), 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997. US De~~ partment of Transportation, National Highway Safety Administration. ~~ FARS Web Site: www-fars.nhtsa.dot.gov, FARS Query System, February, 1~~ 999. Definition: 69 Nodelocation: 56,56 Nodesize: 48,46 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Ass_percentutpoles Title: Percent of Utility Poles that are Electrical Utility Poles Units: Percent Description: The U.S. Department of Transportation FARS data distingu~~ ishes between light posts, sign posts, and utility posts, but it does~~ not distinguish between electrical and other utility posts (telephon~~ e and cable). However, one can assume that most utility posts are el~~ ectrical utility poles or poles that carry multiple utility lines. T~~ he user can choose between three values: Low (80%), Medium (90%), and~~ High (100%). Definition: Table(Scen_coll)( 80,90,100) Nodelocation: 304,48 Nodesize: 48,46 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,40,50,416,303,0,MIDM Aliases: Alias Percent_of_poles_th1, Alias Percent_of_poles_tha Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Ass_polesmile Title: Poles Per Mile Description: The number of poles can vary as a function of the weight~~ of the line and other factors from 10 per mile to 20 per mile. As a~~ default, the model uses 20 poles per mile. ~ ~ William Gray, Consultant to Decision Insights, Inc. Personal communic~~ ation, August, 1998. Definition: 20 Nodelocation: 56,232 Nodesize: 48,24 Aliases: Alias Poles_per_mile1, Alias Poles_per_mile2 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Domain: [30,40] Variable Collfat_riskpole Title: Fatality Risk per Pole Definition: 0*Collfat_fatinca*(Ass_percentutpoles/100)/(Ass_milesohtd~~ *Ass_polesmile) Nodelocation: 184,152 Nodesize: 48,24 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Scen_coll Title: Scenarios: Pole Collisions Description: This variable lets you define labels for pole scenarios.~~ Definition: ['Low','Medium','High'] Nodelocation: 440,48 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Aliases: Alias Pole_scenario2, Alias Pole_scenario1 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Collfat_riskred Title: Percent Pole Removal Description: Not all poles will necessarily be removed when an overhe~~ ad line is undergrounded. For example, poles that carry street light~~ s will either remain to provide light, or they will be replaced by li~~ ght poles. The model lets the user choose between 50% (low), 75% (me~~ dium) and 100% (high) pole removal. Definition: Table(Scen_coll)( 50,75,100) Nodelocation: 304,152 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Aliases: Alias Relative_risk__pole1, Alias Relative_risk__pole_ Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Collfat_lelosstot Title: Loss of Life Expectancy: Pole Collisions~ (Total) Definition: sum(Collfat_leloss,Index_years) Nodelocation: 576,232 Nodesize: 48,46 Windstate: 1,102,90 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_coll, Alternatives ] Variable Scen_ch_coll Title: Choose Scenario: Pole Collisions Description: This menu lets you choose from a bad (high collision ris~~ k) and a good (low collision risk) scenario. As defined below. Definition: Choice(Scen_coll,2) Nodelocation: 568,48 Nodesize: 48,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,4,800,565,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Pole_slice1, Alias Chosen_pole_scenari1, Alias Chosen_pole_scenario~~ Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Collfat_leloss Title: Annual Loss of Life Expectancy: Pole Collisions Definition: Leloss_avgad*Collfat_total Nodelocation: 440,232 Nodesize: 48,46 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Variable Collfat_riskmile Title: Fatality Risk per Mile Definition: Table(Ind_linetype)( (Collfat_riskpole*Ass_polesmile),(((Collfat_riskpole*Ass_polesmile)*(~~ 100-Collfat_riskred))/100)) Nodelocation: 184,232 Nodesize: 48,24 Defnstate: 1,40,50,416,303,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,40,50,416,303,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_coll, Ind_linetype ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Collfat_total Title: Annual Collision Fatalities (Total) Definition: sum(Collfat_riskmile[Ind_linetype=Phys_linetype_seg]*Phys~~ _altseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 304,232 Nodesize: 48,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_coll, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Total_miles_of_oh_t4 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,152 Nodesize: 52,28 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_milesohtd Alias Average_loss_of_lif1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 440,136 Nodesize: 48,29 Original: Leloss_avgad Close Mod_collfat Module Fireinjuries_mod Title: Injuries ~ due to Fires Description: This model calculates the "Annual Fire Injuries per Mile~~ " of overhead transmission and distribution lines in California. The ~~ key numbers in this calculation is "Total Injuries in CA" due to fire~~ s - an average of 319 deaths (and about 5,000 injuries) per year for ~~ a ten year period in the eighties (California State Fire Marshal, 198~~ 8). The "Percent of Injuries due to OH Lines" is very uncertain. We u~~ sed conservative estimates. The combination of total deaths (or injur~~ ies) and percent due to overhead lines, combined with the "Total Mile~~ s of OH Lines," results in an estimate of the "Annual Fire Injuries p~~ er Mile." The remaining calculations are based on separate segments o~~ f a line and using a loss of life expectancy of 35 years for a fatali~~ ty. ~ ~ California State Fire Marshall. California Fire Incident Reporting Sy~~ stem: Annual Report, 1988. Sacramento: CSFM, 1988. Author: teppel Date: Fri, Jul 31, 1998 12:57 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 160,144 Nodesize: 48,28 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,800,326,17 Variable Fireinj_injinca Title: Total Injuries in CA Description: This single valued input is the total annual fire deaths~~ (injuries) in California. Using a ten-year average from 1979 to 1988~~ , the default value is 319 deaths and 5,000 injuries per year (Califo~~ rnia State Fire Marshal, 1988).~ ~ California State Fire Marshall. California Fire Incident Reporting Sy~~ stem: Annual Report, 1988. Sacramento: CSFM, 1988. Definition: 5000 Nodelocation: 56,40 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Scen_percentinj_oh Title: Percent of Injuries due to OH Lines Units: Percent Description: According to the National Fire Data Center (1978) about ~~ 11% of all fires are due to electrical distribution. This includes ov~~ erhead and underground transmission and distribution. It is unclear ~~ whether this percentage includes wiring in buildings, but the 11% fig~~ ure is certainly close to an upper bound for the percentage of fires ~~ due to distribution and transmission lines. We further assume that a~~ ll fires are due to overhead (OH) lines, none to underground (UG) lin~~ es and that the percent of fires is identical to the percent of fatal~~ ities (injuries).~ ~ To reflect the uncertainties in the estimation of this percentage, th~~ e user can use three settings:~ ~ Low: 1%~ Medium: 5%~ High: 15%~ ~ National Fire Data Center. Fire in the United States. Washington, DC:~~ U.S. Department of Commerce, 1978. Definition: [1,5,15] Nodelocation: 312,40 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Numberformat: 1,F,4,2,0,0 Variable Ffireinj_injtotal Title: Fire Injuries due to OH Transmission Description: Analogous to Fatalities. Definition: (Fireinj_injinca*Scen_percentinj_oh/100) Nodelocation: 184,40 Nodesize: 48,29 Variable Fireinj_injmile Title: Annual Fire Injuries per Mile Description: Analogous to Fatalities. Definition: Table(Ind_linetype)( (Ffireinj_injtotal/Ass_milesoht),0) Nodelocation: 184,128 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_percentinj_oh, Ind_linetype ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Total_miles_of_oh_t_ Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,128 Nodesize: 48,24 Original: Ass_milesoht Variable Fireinj_annual Title: Annual Fire Injuries (Total) Description: Analogous to Fatalities. Definition: sum(Fireinj_injmile[Ind_linetype=Phys_linetype_seg]*Phys_~~ altseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 184,216 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,4,800,565,0,MIDM Reformdef: [Alternatives, Ind_segments ] Variable Fireinj_total Title: Fire Injuries~ (Total) Description: Analogous to Fatalities. Definition: sum(Fireinj_annual,Index_years) Nodelocation: 312,216 Nodesize: 48,24 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_percentinj_oh, Alternatives ] Variable Choice_percentinj_oh Title: Choose:~ Percent of Injuries due to OH Lines Description: Analogous to Fatalities. Definition: Choice(Scen_percentinj_oh,2) Nodelocation: 432,40 Nodesize: 48,38 Aliases: Formnode Chosen_scenario__pe1 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Close Fireinjuries_mod Module Mod_collinj Title: Injuries due to Pole Collisions Description: This model estimates injuries due to utility pole collis~~ ions. The key variable is "Injury Risk per Pole." It depends on the~~ "Injuries from Utility Pole Collisions" in California (CA), the "Per~~ cent of Utility Poles that are Electrical Utility Poles," the "Total ~~ Miles of OH Lines," and the "Number of Poles per Mile." ~ ~ The "Injury Risk per Mile" for overhead design is the product of the ~~ injury risk per pole times the number of poles per mile. The "Injury~~ Risk per Mile" for undergrounding an existing overhead line is the r~~ esidual risk, once the poles for overhead distribution are removed. ~~ If all poles are removed, this residual risk is zero. However, some ~~ poles may remain, to support existing structures or non-electrical ut~~ ilities. Author: teppel Date: Fri, Jul 31, 1998 12:57 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 280,144 Nodesize: 48,29 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,560,17 Variable Collinj_injinca Title: Injuries from Utility Pole Collisions in CA Description: Between 1994 and 1997 there were, on average 126 automob~~ ile crashes with utility pole collisions in California, with 69 fatal~~ ities, 49 injuries, and 8 cases with property damage only (see below)~~ . ~ ~ 1994 1995 ~~ 1996 1997 Average~ Fatal 75 69 ~~ 63 68 69~ Injury 53 39 ~~ 58 44 49~ No Injury 15 10 ~~ 5 3 8~ TOTAL 143 118 1~~ 26 115 126~ ~ Source:~ ~ Fatal Accident Reportin System (FARS), 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997. US De~~ partment of Transportation, National Highway Safety Administration. ~~ FARS Web Site: www-fars.nhtsa.dot.gov, FARS Query System, February, 1~~ 999. Definition: 49 Nodelocation: 64,40 Nodesize: 56,36 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Collinj_riskpole Title: Injury Risk per Pole Definition: 0*((Collinj_injinca*Ass_percentutpoles/100)/((Ass_milesoh~~ td)*Ass_polesmile)) Nodelocation: 184,136 Nodesize: 48,24 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Alias Percent_of_poles_tha Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 304,40 Nodesize: 48,48 Original: Ass_percentutpoles Alias Total_miles_of_oh_t1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,135 Nodesize: 48,29 Original: Ass_milesohtd Alias Poles_per_mile2 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 56,216 Nodesize: 48,24 Original: Ass_polesmile Alias Relative_risk__pole_ Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 304,135 Nodesize: 48,29 Original: Collfat_riskred Alias Pole_scenario1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 424,39 Nodesize: 48,29 Original: Scen_coll Variable Collinj_total Title: Collision Injuries~ (Total) Definition: sum(Collinj_annual,Index_years) Nodelocation: 424,216 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,565,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_coll, Alternatives ] Alias Chosen_pole_scenario Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 552,40 Nodesize: 48,38 Original: Scen_ch_coll Variable Collinj_annual Title: Annual Collision Injuries Definition: Sum(Collinj_riskmile[Ind_linetype=Phys_linetype_seg]*Phys~~ _altseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 304,214 Nodesize: 48,29 Variable Collinj_riskmile Title: Injury Risk Per Mile Definition: Table(Ind_linetype)( (Collinj_riskpole*Ass_polesmile),(((Collinj_riskpole*Ass_polesmile)*(~~ 100-Collfat_riskred))/100)) Nodelocation: 184,216 Nodesize: 48,24 Windstate: 1,102,90 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Close Mod_collinj Alias Health_effects__acci Title: Health Effects:~ Accidents Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 56,24 Nodesize: 56,24 Original: Accidents Module Mod_elecp Title: Electrocutions~ (Public) Description: This model builds on the "Electrocution Rate per 100,000~~ " population in the U.S. (about 0.30) and calculates the "Number of E~~ lectrocutions in CA" by multiplying the rate by 300 (assuming 30 mill~~ ion people in California). It then allocates a percentage of this nu~~ mber to overhead lines and to underground lines. Using the respectiv~~ e "Total Miles of OH (UG) Lines," the model then normalizes the resul~~ ting electrocutions to a "Number of Electrocutions per Mile of OH and~~ UG Lines." The remaining calculations make adjustments for the leng~~ th of the line, the life of the line (default: 35 years) and the loss~~ of life expectancy. Author: Thomas Eppel Date: Thu, Feb 11, 1999 10:33 AM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 224,216 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,667,17 Variable Scen_elecp Title: Scenarios:~ Electrocutions Definition: ['Low','Medium','High'] Nodelocation: 296,32 Nodesize: 52,24 Variable Scen_ch_elecp Title: Chosen Scenario:~ Electrocutions Definition: Choice(Scen_elecp,2) Nodelocation: 424,32 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Elecp_percentoh Title: Percent of Electrocutions due to OH Lines Description: Data by the California Division of Labor Statistics Rese~~ arch (1998) suggest that about 46% of worker electrocutions are due t~~ o overhead line contact. This is probably an upper bound for public ~~ electrocutions, which are more likely to occur in or around the house~~ . The model has three possible values for the percent of electrocuti~~ ons due to OH lines: 20% (low), 30% (medium), and 50% (high). At 30%~~ , this would result in an estimated 0.30*65=19.5 electrocutions.~ ~ Worker Fatalities due to Contact with Electric Current (1992-1996)~ ~ OH Lines Appliances Other Percent~~ OH~ 1992 13 7 5 ~~ 52%~ 1993 10 8 8 ~~ 38%~ 1994 10 4 10 ~~ 42%~ 1995 11 2 10 ~~ 47%~ 1996 14 3 10 ~~ 52%~ ~ Av. 11.6 4.8 8.6 ~~ 46%~ ~ California Division of Labor Statistics and Research. Census of Fata~~ l Occupational Injuries. San Francisco, Web Site: www.dir.ca.gov/DIR~~ /S&R/table1.html, 1998. Definition: Table(Scen_elecp)( 20,30,50) Nodelocation: 296,112 Nodesize: 52,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,4,800,565,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Elecp_percentug Title: Percent of Electrocutions due to UG Lines Description: There is no data that directly identifies electrocutions~~ due to contact with underground cables. A 1995 CPUC report states t~~ hat there were 2 electrocutions in California in one year due to this~~ type of contact. It is not known whether these electrocutions were ~~ public or worker cases. Assuming that one case per year is a public ~~ electrocution, this would be 5% of the estimated public OH electrocut~~ ions. Using this 5% as a benchmark, the model uses 1% (low), 1.5% (m~~ edium) and 2.5% (high) as scenario settings for the percentage of pub~~ lic electrocutions due to underground lines. Definition: Table(Scen_elecp)( 1,1.5,2.5) Nodelocation: 424,112 Nodesize: 52,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Elecp_elecrate Title: Electrocution Rate per 100,000 Description: The Statistical Abstracts of the United States (1994) st~~ ate that there were 670 electrocutions in the U.S. in 1990 - a number~~ that has been steadily declining. Using this number results in a ra~~ te of 0.3 electrocutions per 100,000 population in the U.S. Definition: 0.3 Nodelocation: 56,112 Nodesize: 48,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Ass_popca Title: Population in CA Definition: 30000000 Nodelocation: 176,32 Nodesize: 48,24 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Elecp_elecca Title: Number of Electrocutions in CA Description: Multiplying the electrocution rate by 300 to reflect the~~ 30 million population of California results in 90 electrocutions. W~~ e need to subtract from this number the cases of worker electrocution~~ (see the worker electrocution model) which amounted to 25 cases per ~~ year. Thus the net estimate of public electrocutions for California ~~ is 65. Definition: Ass_popca*Elecp_elecrate/100000-25 Nodelocation: 176,112 Nodesize: 52,28 Variable Elecp_numelecmile Title: Number of Electrocutions per Mile of OH&UG Lines Definition: Table(Ind_linetype)( (((Elecp_elecca*Elecp_percentoh)/100)/Ass_milesohtd),(((Elecp_elecca*~~ Elecp_percentug)/100)/Ass_milesugtd)) Nodelocation: 296,224 Nodesize: 52,38 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_linetype, Scen_elecp ] Variable Elecp_numelecyear Title: Total Annual Number of Electrocutions from OH&UG Lines Definition: sum(Elecp_numelecmile[Ind_linetype=Phys_linetype_seg]*Phy~~ s_altseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 296,327 Nodesize: 52,46 Reformval: [Alternatives, Scen_elecp ] Variable Elecp_numelectot Title: Total Number of Electrocutions from OH&UG Lines Definition: Elecp_numelecyear*Timehorizon Nodelocation: 432,328 Nodesize: 56,38 Variable Elecp_lelosstot Title: Total Loss of Life Expectancy due to Electrocutions Definition: Elecp_numelectot*Leloss_avgad Nodelocation: 432,448 Nodesize: 60,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_elecp, Alternatives ] Alias Total_miles_of_ug_t1 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 432,224 Nodesize: 56,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_milesugtd Alias Total_miles_of_oh_t6 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 152,224 Nodesize: 52,28 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_milesohtd Alias Average_loss_of_lif2 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 296,448 Nodesize: 48,29 Original: Leloss_avgad Close Mod_elecp Close Accidents_public_mod Module Accidents_worker_mod Title: Accidents:~ Workers Description: This model estimates the worker fatalities and injuries ~~ due to construction, for example, when undergrounding an existing tra~~ nsmission or distribution line. In addition, the model estimates the~~ worker fatality risk due to electrocutions. Author: teppel Date: Tue, May 26, 1998 11:15 AM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 248,216 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,1,0,448,245,17 Nodecolor: 39321,52431,65535 Module Mod_elecw Title: Electrocutions~ (Workers) Description: This model builds on an estimate of the annual "Number o~~ f OH Electrocutions in California (Workers)" due to contact with over~~ head lines and the "Number of UG Electrocutions in California (Worker~~ s)" due to contact with underground lines. It converts the annual nu~~ mber of electrocutions into a "Number of Electrocutions per Mile of O~~ H and UG Lines" by using the respective "Total Miles of OH Lines" and~~ the "Total Miles of UGLines" in California, then calculates the "Tot~~ al Annual Number of Electrocutions from OH and UG Lines" by multiplyi~~ ng the length of the line with the per-mile risk. The remaining calc~~ ulations extrapolate this result to the lifetime of the line (default~~ : 35 years) and reductions in life expectancy. Author: Thomas Eppel Date: Thu, Feb 11, 1999 10:33 AM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 176,176 Nodesize: 56,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1024,667,17 Alias Total_miles_of_ug_t_ Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 456,240 Nodesize: 56,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_milesugtd Alias Total_miles_of_oh_t5 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 168,239 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_milesohtd Variable Elecw_ugelec Title: Number of UG Electrocutions in CA (Workers) Description: None of the labor risk statistics bracket out undergroun~~ d cables as a source of worker electrocutions. The "Other" category ~~ of the California Division of Labor Statistics and Research includes ~~ contact with wiring, transformers and other electrical components. O~~ ne source (CPUC, 1985) list 2 electrocutions due to contact with unde~~ rground lines in one year, but it is unclear whether these were worke~~ rs or members of the public. The model uses three values -- 0 (low),~~ 1 (medium) and 2 (high) -- for the estimated number of electrocution~~ s due to underground cables in California. Definition: Table(Scen_elecw)( 0,1,2) Nodelocation: 392,136 Nodesize: 52,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,40,50,416,303,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,4,1024,733,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Elecw_lelosstot Title: Total Loss of Life Expectancy due to Electrocutions Definition: (Elecw_numelectot*Leloss_avgad) Nodelocation: 448,464 Nodesize: 60,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_elecw, Alternatives ] Variable Elecw_numelectot Title: Total Number of Electrocutions from OH&UG Lines Definition: (Elecw_numelecyear*Timehorizon) Nodelocation: 448,336 Nodesize: 56,38 Reformval: [Scen_elecw, Alternatives ] Variable Elecw_numelecyear Title: Total Annual Number of Electrocutions from OH&UG Lines Definition: Sum((Elecw_nummile[Ind_linetype=Phys_linetype_seg]*Phys_a~~ ltseg*Phys_segmentlength),Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 312,343 Nodesize: 52,46 Valuestate: 1,40,50,416,303,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_elecw, Alternatives ] Variable Elecw_nummile Title: Number of Electrocutions per Mile of OH&UG Lines Definition: Table(Ind_linetype)( (Elecw_ohelec/Ass_milesohtd),(Elecw_ugelec/Ass_milesugtd)) Nodelocation: 312,240 Nodesize: 52,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Ind_linetype, Scen_elecw ] Variable Elecw_ohelec Title: Number of OH Electrocutions in CA (Workers) Description: This model includes electrocution risks both from line w~~ orkers and other workers that may come in contact with power lines. T~~ he best statistics for this purpose come from the California Division~~ of Labor Statistics Research (1998):~ ~ Worker Fatalities due to Contact with Electric Current (1992-1996)~ ~ OH Lines Appliances Other~ 1992 13 7 5~ 1993 10 8 8~ 1994 10 4 10~ 1995 11 2 10~ 1997 14 3 10~ Av. 11.6 4.8 8.6~ ~ California Division of Labor Statistics and Research. Census of Fata~~ l Occupational Injuries. San Francisco, Web Site: www.dir.ca.gov/DIR~~ /S&R/table1.html, 1998. Definition: 11.6 Nodelocation: 240,136 Nodesize: 52,38 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Scen_ch_elecw Title: Chosen Scenario:~ Electrocutions Definition: Choice(Scen_elecw,2) Nodelocation: 520,48 Nodesize: 52,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Scen_elecw Title: Scenarios:~ Electrocutions Definition: ['Low','Medium','High'] Nodelocation: 392,48 Nodesize: 52,24 Alias Average_loss_of_lif3 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 296,464 Nodesize: 48,29 Original: Leloss_avgad Close Mod_elecw Alias Health_effects__acc1 Title: Health Effects:~ Accidents Definition: 0 Nodelocation: 64,32 Nodesize: 56,24 Original: Accidents Module Construction_fatali1 Title: Construction Injuries Description: The "Construction Fatalities (Injuries) (Total)" depend ~~ on the "Number of Worker-Days of Construction Per Mile" and the "Annu~~ al Fatality Risk: Construction." The "Number of Worker-Days of Const~~ ruction Per Mile" depend on the alternative chosen. In general, unde~~ rgrounding has the largest number of construction days, but other alt~~ ernatives like split phasing, raising the pole height, etc, will also~~ involve construction. For fatalities, the "Loss of Life Expectancy ~~ due to Construction Fatalities" is then calculated from the total con~~ struction fatalities. Author: teppel Date: Sun, Aug 02, 1998 2:47 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 176,112 Nodesize: 48,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,800,326,17 Alias Chosen_scenario__con Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 328,48 Nodesize: 48,46 Original: Scen_ch_constr Alias Scenario__constructi Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 200,48 Nodesize: 48,38 Original: Scen_constr Alias Number_of_worker_day Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 64,48 Nodesize: 52,40 Original: Ass_constrworkerdays Variable Coninj_total Title: Construction Injuries~ (Total) Description: Analogous to Fatalities. Definition: Sum(Coninj_injrisk*Ass_constrworkerdays[Ind_mitigation=Ph~~ ys_mitig_alt]/250*Phys_altseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 200,136 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_constr, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Coninj_injrisk Title: Annual Injury Risk:~ Construction Description: According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (1994), the ~~ annual fatality risk from construction is 0.00033. The user can upda~~ te this number as more recent information or information that is spec~~ ific to utility construction becomes available. The annual risk of a ~~ serious injury is 0.067 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1993).~ ~ Bureau of Labor Statistics. Fatal Workplace Injuries in 19934: Data a~~ nd Analysis. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Labor, 1994.~ ~ Bureau of Labor Statistics. Occupational injuries and illnesses in t~~ he United States by Industry. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Lab~~ or, 1993. Definition: 0.067 Nodelocation: 64,136 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Close Construction_fatali1 Module Construction_fatalit Title: Construction Fatalities Description: The "Construction Fatalities (Injuries) (Total)" depend ~~ on the "Number of Worker-Days of Construction Per Mile" and the "Annu~~ al Fatality Risk: Construction." The "Number of Worker-Days of Const~~ ruction Per Mile" depend on the alternative chosen. In general, unde~~ rgrounding has the largest number of construction days, but other alt~~ ernatives like split phasing, raising the pole height, etc, will also~~ involve construction. For fatalities, the "Loss of Life Expectancy ~~ due to Construction Fatalities" is then calculated from the total con~~ struction fatalities. Author: teppel Date: Sun, Aug 02, 1998 2:47 PM Defaultsize: 48,24 Nodelocation: 176,48 Nodesize: 48,24 Diagstate: 1,0,-23,1152,574,17 Alias Loss_of_life_expec13 Definition: 1 Nodelocation: 80,280 Nodesize: 56,29 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Original: Ass_lelossworker Variable Ass_constrworkerdays Title: Number of Worker-Days of Construction Per Mile Description: This table lets the user edit the number of worker-days ~~ of construction per mile for three scenarios (low, medium, high) and ~~ each alternative that involves construction. The estimates in the ta~~ ble were obtained from William Gray, a consultant to Decision Insight~~ s, Inc. The default is the medium scenario.~ ~ Worker-Days of Construction per mile:~ ~ Overhead Transmission - Pole: 30 (low), 35 (medium), 40 (high)~ Overhead Transmission - Towers: 200 (low), 250 (medium), 300 (high)~ Overhead Distribution - Pole: 15 (low), 20 (medium), 30 (high)~ Underground Transmission: 1800 (low), 3,000 (medium), 5000 (high)~ Underground Distribution: 35 (low), 40 (medium), 50 (high) Definition: Table(Scen_constr,Ind_mitigation)( 30,30,1800, 35,35,3000, 40,40,5000 ) Nodelocation: 80,48 Nodesize: 76,38 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Defnstate: 1,360,122,800,499,0,MIDM Aliases: Formnode Number_of_worker_da1, Alias Number_of_worker_day Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Reformdef: [Scen_constr, Ind_mitigation ] Reformval: [Scen_constr, Ind_mitigation ] Variable Scen_constr Title: Scenarios:~ Construction Fatalities and Injuries Description: This menu lets the user access the scenarios for worker-~~ days of consecration per mile. Definition: ['Low','Medium','High'] Nodelocation: 232,48 Nodesize: 48,46 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Aliases: Alias Scenario__constructi Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Confat_fatrisk Title: Annual Fatality Risk:~ Construction Description: According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (1994), the ~~ annual fatality risk from construction is 0.00033. The user can upda~~ te this number as more recent information or information that is spec~~ ific to utility construction becomes available. The annual risk of a ~~ serious injury is 0.067 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1993).~ ~ Bureau of Labor Statistics. Fatal Workplace Injuries in 19934: Data a~~ nd Analysis. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Labor, 1994.~ ~ Bureau of Labor Statistics. Occupational injuries and illnesses in t~~ he United States by Industry. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Lab~~ or, 1993. Definition: 0.00033 Nodelocation: 72,152 Nodesize: 48,29 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Confat_total Title: Construction Fatalities~ (Total) Description: This table shows the fatality risks by segment. These r~~ esults cannot be edited. Definition: sum(Confat_fatrisk*Ass_constrworkerdays[Ind_mitigation=Ph~~ ys_mitig_alt]/250*Phys_altseg*Phys_segmentlength,Ind_segments) Nodelocation: 240,152 Nodesize: 48,29 Valuestate: 1,0,-23,800,499,0,MIDM Reformval: [Scen_constr, Alternatives ] Numberformat: 1,E,4,2,0,0 Variable Scen_ch_constr Title: Choose Scenario:~ Construction Fatalities and Injuries Description: This menu allows the user to choose a scenario (low, med~~ ium, or high). Definition: Choice(Scen_constr,3) Nodelocation: 360,48 Nodesize: 48,46 Windstate: 1,0,-23 Aliases: Formnode Chosen_scenario__co1, Alias Chosen_scenario__con Nodecolor: 5,65535,1 Variable Confat_leloss Title: Loss of Life Expectancy due to Construction Fatalities Definition: Confat_total*Ass_lelossworker Nodelocation: 240,280 Nodesize: 48,46 Close Construction_fatalit Close Accidents_worker_mod Close Model_criteria Close Overview_model Close Retrofit